Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOIK Baku vs Sabail

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

I Liqa
MOIK Baku Logo

MOIK Baku

1 - 0
FT
Sabail Logo

Sabail

Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Soltanov B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between MOIK Baku and Sabail finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
MOIK Baku
6%
Draws
90%
Sabail
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sabail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • MOIK Baku haven't matched Sabail's recent run of results.
  • Sabail are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 10%
Sabail Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku Sabail
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.13 2.88
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 I Liqa
Sabail vs MOIK Baku
2:2
Feb 18, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sabail
1:0
Nov 5, 2025 I Liqa
Sabail vs MOIK Baku
1:0
Nov 22, 2022 Azerbaijan Cup
MOIK Baku vs Sabail
0:4
Feb 11, 2017 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sabail
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Top Goalscorer Soltanov B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sabail Compare

Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 10 / 100
Sabail 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku Sabail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sabail let in goals in 43% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: MOIK Baku stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Sabail
1.13 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
Page 1 of 7

Sabail

(Away)
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
06 May
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 3
Sabail
30 Apr
Sabail
6 : 0
Cebrayil
23 Apr
Difai Agsu
0 : 4
Sabail
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Safa Baku 27 16 9 2 52:21 57
2 Mingachevir 27 15 6 6 55:27 51
3 Sabail 27 14 8 5 46:21 50
4 Baku Sporting 27 13 10 4 40:23 49
5 Sahdag Qusar 27 12 7 8 36:27 43
6 MOIK Baku 27 9 6 12 33:40 33
7 Zaqatala PFK 27 8 4 15 27:44 28
8 Cebrayil 27 7 3 17 40:56 24
9 Shimal 27 5 5 17 23:61 20
10 Difai Agsu 27 4 6 17 28:60 18
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - I Liqa (Relegation)