Sport Picks

Stadium Background

MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015/2016 game between MOIK Baku and Sahdag Qusar finished 9-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
MOIK Baku
33%
Draws
40%
Sahdag Qusar
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • MOIK Baku carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Sahdag Qusar taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 18%
Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played 40 36
Wins 16 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
0:1
Mar 12, 2026 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku
1:1
Sep 11, 2025 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
1:2
Mar 4, 2017 I Liqa
Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku
0:0
Oct 4, 2016 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar
6:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 28 / 100
Sahdag Qusar 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku Sahdag Qusar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 40 recent games.

Sahdag Qusar has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: MOIK Baku remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Sahdag Qusar
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
06 May
Shimal
1 : 1
MOIK Baku
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Safa Baku
3 : 0
MOIK Baku
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Sahdag Qusar

(Away)
22 May
Sahdag Qusar
1 : 1
Baku Sporting
15 May
Sabail
0 : 0
Sahdag Qusar
05 May
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Mingachevir
29 Apr
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
22 Apr
Zaqatala PFK
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1ANSAD Neftcala26202474:2062
2Lokbatan26184459:2858
3Agsu (Inactive)26138546:2947
4MOIK Baku26145753:2447
5Shamkir26108830:2438
6Zaqatala PFK2699847:3636
7Turan261061035:3136
8Imisli FK26881028:2632
9FK Baku26931433:4230
10Bakili Baku26861234:4630
11Sahdag Qusar26861231:5430
12Sharurspor26841445:4428
13Goyazan Qazax26381517:4217
14Mingachevir26431914:10015
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)