Sport Picks

Azerbaijan

I Liqa

MOIK Baku

0 - 1

Sahdag Qusar

Our Tip

Match Events

60'

Chipesse A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The I Liqa game between MOIK Baku and Sahdag Qusar finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sahdag Qusar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

MOIK Baku

33%

Draws

40%

Sahdag Qusar

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Sahdag Qusar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Sahdag Qusar haven't matched MOIK Baku's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Sahdag Qusar's way, sitting at 40%.
Regular I Liqa form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 18%

Sahdag Qusar Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	MOIK Baku	Sahdag Qusar
Matches Played	42	37
Wins	18	17
Draws	9	8
Losses	15	12
Goals Scored	1.25	1
Goals Conceded	1.63	0.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 42% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

0:1

Mar 12, 2026 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Sep 11, 2025 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 0 - 0

1:2

Mar 4, 2017 I Liqa

Sahdag Qusar vs MOIK Baku

Possession: 40% - 41% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Oct 4, 2016 I Liqa

MOIK Baku vs Sahdag Qusar

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

MOIK Baku Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sahdag Qusar Compare

Top Goalscorer Chipesse A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 28 / 100

Sahdag Qusar 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

MOIK Baku Sahdag Qusar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAH Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (42 games).

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Sahdag Qusar let in goals in 59% of their last 37 matches.

Recent resilience: MOIK Baku stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS Sahdag Qusar

1.25 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5

88% Over 1.5 38%

75% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Safa Baku	27	16	9	2	52:21	57
2	Mingachevir	27	15	6	6	55:27	51
3	Sabail	27	14	8	5	46:21	50
4	Baku Sporting	27	13	10	4	40:23	49
5	Sahdag Qusar	27	12	7	8	36:27	43
6	MOIK Baku	27	9	6	12	33:40	33
7	Zaqatala PFK	27	8	4	15	27:44	28
8	Cebrayil	27	7	3	17	40:56	24
9	Shimal	27	5	5	17	23:61	20
10	Difai Agsu	27	4	6	17	28:60	18