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MOIK Baku vs Shamkir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2015/2016
MOIK Baku Logo

MOIK Baku

2 - 1
FT
Shamkir Logo

Shamkir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2015/2016 game between MOIK Baku and Shamkir finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MOIK Baku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
MOIK Baku
20%
Draws
40%
Shamkir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Shamkir come out ahead of MOIK Baku on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on MOIK Baku taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
MOIK Baku Clean Sheet 20%
Shamkir Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric MOIK Baku Shamkir
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.23 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2017 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Shamkir
0:0
Oct 28, 2016 I Liqa
Shamkir vs MOIK Baku
1:0
May 6, 2016 I Liqa
Shamkir vs MOIK Baku
1:2
Dec 18, 2015 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Shamkir
2:1
May 27, 2015 I Liqa
MOIK Baku vs Shamkir
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

MOIK Baku 49 / 100
Shamkir 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
MOIK Baku Shamkir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOIK Baku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

MOIK Baku's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Shamkir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: MOIK Baku stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

MOIK Baku VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

MOIK Baku

(Home)
18 Sept
FC Khankendi
0 : 2
MOIK Baku
11 Sept
MOIK Baku
1 : 1
Shimal
03 Sept
MOIK Baku
0 : 1
Sahdag Qusar
21 May
MOIK Baku
4 : 0
Difai Agsu
15 May
Mingachevir
3 : 1
MOIK Baku
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Shamkir

(Away)
30 Oct
Shamakhi
6 : 1
Shamkir
27 Apr
Shamkir
0 : 0
Agsu (Inactive)
21 Apr
Sabail
1 : 0
Shamkir
14 Apr
Shamkir
5 : 1
Mingachevir
09 Apr
Goyazan Qazax
0 : 2
Shamkir
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ANSAD Neftcala 26 20 2 4 74:20 62
2 Lokbatan 26 18 4 4 59:28 58
3 Agsu (Inactive) 26 13 8 5 46:29 47
4 MOIK Baku 26 14 5 7 53:24 47
5 Shamkir 26 10 8 8 30:24 38
6 Zaqatala PFK 26 9 9 8 47:36 36
7 Turan 26 10 6 10 35:31 36
8 Imisli FK 26 8 8 10 28:26 32
9 FK Baku 26 9 3 14 33:42 30
10 Bakili Baku 26 8 6 12 34:46 30
11 Sahdag Qusar 26 8 6 12 31:54 30
12 Sharurspor 26 8 4 14 45:44 28
13 Goyazan Qazax 26 3 8 15 17:42 17
14 Mingachevir 26 4 3 19 14:100 15
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)