Sport Picks
Match Events
13'
13'
Hichri M.
33'
33'
Mbarek G.
45'
45'
Chaouech F.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Moknine in this Ligue 2 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moknine.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oued Ellil
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Moknine at 1.13 per game, Oued Ellil at 0.9.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Ligue 2 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Moknine Clean Sheet 14%
Oued Ellil Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moknine | Oued Ellil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 23, 2025 Ligue 2
Moknine vs Oued Ellil
2:1
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 2
Oued Ellil vs Moknine
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moknine Compare
Top Goalscorer Hichri M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Oued Ellil Compare
Top Goalscorer Mbarek G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moknine 31 / 100
Oued Ellil 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moknine Oued Ellil
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Oued Ellil Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Moknine scored in 65% of their last 31 games.
Oued Ellil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Moknine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moknine VS Oued Ellil
1 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Moknine
(Home) 27 Sept
Moknine
0 : 3 Redeyef
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
02 May
Jendouba Sport
1 : 0 Moknine
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
19 Apr
Redeyef
2 : 3 Moknine
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Moknine
0 : 3 Redeyef
12 May
Moknine
1 : 1 Ariana
28 Apr
Moknine
2 : 1 Ksour Essef
11 Apr
Moknine
0 : 2 Stade Gabesien
28 Mar
Moknine
1 : 1 PS Sakiet Eddaier
Page 1 of 4
Oued Ellil
(Away) 08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
17 May
Oued Ellil
2 : 1 EM Mahdia
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
05 May
Oued Ellil
1 : 1 Hammam-Lif
Page 1 of 6
08 Feb
Sahline
2 : 1 Oued Ellil
24 May
Kalaa
2 : 2 Oued Ellil
10 May
Ariana
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
26 Apr
Rades
0 : 1 Oued Ellil
19 Apr
Korba
2 : 0 Oued Ellil
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AS Marsa | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 40:17 | 53 |
| 2 | Megrine | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 49:23 | 52 |
| 3 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 38:19 | 49 |
| 4 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 36:28 | 36 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 22:28 | 36 |
| 6 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 25:26 | 34 |
| 7 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 18:17 | 33 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 33:33 | 33 |
| 9 | Kalaa | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:34 | 31 |
| 10 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 26:37 | 31 |
| 11 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 27:30 | 30 |
| 12 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 18:27 | 30 |
| 13 | Oued Ellil | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23:32 | 27 |
| 14 | Rades | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 16:50 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JS Kairouan | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 30:11 | 54 |
| 2 | Kasserine | 26 | 16 | 5 | 5 | 36:17 | 53 |
| 3 | Kerkennah | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:21 | 44 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 35:22 | 44 |
| 5 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 32:23 | 44 |
| 6 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 21:22 | 33 |
| 7 | Redeyef | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 23:25 | 33 |
| 8 | Djelma | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 26:26 | 32 |
| 9 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:28 | 32 |
| 10 | Chebba | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 24:29 | 32 |
| 11 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 13:23 | 30 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 23:35 | 30 |
| 13 | ES Jerba | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 15:24 | 26 |
| 14 | Espoir Rogba | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 19:54 | 13 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 2025/2026 (Main)
