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Mokpo vs Pocheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Lee Seok-Kyu
47' Event
Ju Ahn S.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Mokpo and Pocheon finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Mokpo
22%
Draws
60%
Pocheon
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Pocheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pocheon come out ahead of Mokpo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pocheon a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%
Pocheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mokpo Pocheon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1 2.63
Goals Conceded 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Pocheon
1:1
Aug 30, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Pocheon
0:0
May 3, 2025 K3 League
Pocheon vs Mokpo
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 K3 League
Mokpo vs Pocheon
3:2
Jun 16, 2024 K3 League
Pocheon vs Mokpo
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Ju Ahn S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Pocheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Lee Seok-Kyu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mokpo 18 / 100
Pocheon 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mokpo Pocheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PEC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mokpo scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Pocheon conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mokpo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mokpo VS Pocheon
1 Goals Scored 2.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mokpo

(Home)
15 Jul
Cheonan City
2 : 1
Mokpo
11 Jul
Mokpo
2 : 1
Gangneung
04 Jul
Mokpo
3 : 2
Anseong Citizen
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Changwon
1 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

Pocheon

(Away)
15 Jul
Seongnam
2 : 1
Pocheon
11 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Pocheon
04 Jul
Pocheon
2 : 0
Daejeon Korail
28 Jun
Gyeongju KHNP
1 : 3
Pocheon
21 Jun
Pocheon
3 : 1
Gangneung
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)