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Mold Alexandra vs Gresford

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nash R.
24' Event
Cartwright H.
46' Event
Ozlu H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Mold Alexandra and Gresford finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Mold Alexandra
20%
Draws
0%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mold Alexandra come out ahead of Gresford on wins alone.
  • Mold Alexandra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 20%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mold Alexandra Gresford
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 14 19
Goals Scored 1.63 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Gresford
4:1
Sep 5, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Mold Alexandra
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Gresford
1:3
Nov 8, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Mold Alexandra
2:2
Mar 23, 2024 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Gresford
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Nash R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cartwright H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mold Alexandra 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mold Alexandra Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mold Alexandra scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Gresford let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Gresford's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Mold Alexandra VS Gresford
2.25 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mold Alexandra

(Home)
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0
Holyhead
08 Aug
Guilsfield
3 : 2
Mold Alexandra
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Caersws FC
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Mold Alexandra
30 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 4
Airbus UK Broughton FC
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
16 Aug
Gresford
0 : 5
Brickfield Rangers
08 Aug
Caersws FC
1 : 0
Gresford
02 Aug
Gresford
0 : 3
Newtown
18 Apr
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Gresford
11 Apr
Penrhyncoch
4 : 1
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
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