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Mold Alexandra vs Gresford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Nash R.
24' Event
Cartwright H.
46' Event
Ozlu H.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2025/2026 game between Mold Alexandra and Gresford finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Mold Alexandra
20%
Draws
33%
Gresford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mold Alexandra come out ahead of Gresford on wins alone.
  • Mold Alexandra are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 20%
Gresford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mold Alexandra Gresford
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 4 3
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.73 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.7 2.39
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Cymru North
Gresford vs Mold Alexandra
1:5
Mar 28, 2026 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Gresford
4:1
Sep 5, 2025 Cymru North
Gresford vs Mold Alexandra
1:0
Mar 1, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Gresford
1:3
Nov 8, 2024 Cymru North
Gresford vs Mold Alexandra
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Nash R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Cartwright H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Gresford Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mold Alexandra 85 / 100
Gresford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mold Alexandra Gresford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mold Alexandra scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Gresford let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Mold Alexandra stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mold Alexandra VS Gresford
2.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mold Alexandra

(Home)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Gresford

(Away)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
26 Sept
Gresford
3 : 1
Rhyl
12 Sept
Guilsfield
1 : 1
Gresford
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Llanuwchllyn
2 : 0
Gresford
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)