Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 8-1, with Mold Alexandra advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Llanrug
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
36%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Mold Alexandra come out ahead of Llanrug on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Mold Alexandra taking it.
- Mold Alexandra have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Mold Alexandra, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 19%
Llanrug Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mold Alexandra | Llanrug |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 20 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.78 | 1.85 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 2.95 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 9, 2019 FA Cup
Mold Alexandra vs Llanrug
8:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mold Alexandra 85 / 100
Llanrug 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mold Alexandra Llanrug
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mold Alexandra's goal record stands at 88% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Defensive concern: Llanrug conceded in 90% of 20 recent games.
Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.
Mold Alexandra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Mold Alexandra VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mold Alexandra
(Home) 15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Holyhead
08 Aug
Guilsfield
3 : 2 Mold Alexandra
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Caersws FC
10 Jul
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1 Mold Alexandra
30 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 4 Airbus UK Broughton FC
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15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Holyhead
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Caersws FC
30 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 4 Airbus UK Broughton FC
18 Apr
Mold Alexandra
3 : 1 Flint Mountain
11 Apr
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Brickfield Rangers
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Llanrug
(Away) 18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
20 Sept
Llanrug
4 : 3 Ruthin Town
08 Oct
Llanrug
0 : 3 Gresford
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
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18 Oct
Gresford
9 : 0 Llanrug
16 Sept
Llandudno Amateurs
1 : 7 Llanrug
09 Nov
Mold Alexandra
8 : 1 Llanrug
02 Nov
Aberffraw
0 : 1 Llanrug
07 Oct
Llay Welfare
1 : 0 Llanrug
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 4
Cardiff Draconians 1
Builth 2
Ton Pentre 3
Garden Village 1
Goytre Utd 3
Cefn Cribwr 2
Tredegar Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Llannefydd 3
Guilsfield 2
Brymbo 1
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Pontardawe 3
Croesyceiliog FC 2
Abergavenny Town 1
Holyhead 4
Montgomery 2
Blaenau 0
Buckley 2
Abertillery Bluebirds 3
Penparcau FC 1
Trefelin 2
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 3
Monmouth 1
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Aberaeron 1
Holywell Town FC 2
Llandudno FC 3
Mynydd Isa 3
Llanfair United 5
Penybont -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanberis FC 0
Porthmadog 7
Coedpoeth 0
Gresford 5
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 3
Caerau Ely 1
Llantwit Major 0
Llandrindod 1
Greenfield 3
Caersws FC 1
Flint Town 9
Four Crosses 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 2
Rhydymwyn 0
Corwen 2
Colwyn Bay 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Briton Ferry 2
Undy 3
Pure Swansea 4
Caerleon 1
Haverfordwest 5
Penlan Club 3
Cambrian United 7
Ynyshir Albions 3
Llanelli 2
Cwmamman United 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Cardiff Corries 1
Nefyn United 0
Bangor City 2
Llanrhaeadr 1
Prestatyn 4
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterloo Rovers 1
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberffraw 0
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 4
Penycae FC 3
Conwy Borough 1
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 2
Llangefni 0
Prestatyn Sports 2
Queens Park 3
Chepstow Town 3
Taffs Well 2
Cwmaman Institute 2
STM Sports 6
1/32-finals
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Ammanford Town 3
Ton Pentre 1
Goytre Utd 6
Cefn Cribwr 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Llannefydd 1
Guilsfield 5
Pontardawe 6
Croesyceiliog FC 1
Holyhead 0
Buckley 3
Abertillery Bluebirds 4
Llanidloes Town 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Afan Lido 2
Aberbargoed Buds 1
Llandudno FC 4
Llanfair United 1
Penybont -
TBD -
Porthmadog 4
Gresford 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Pontypridd United 1
Llandrindod 0
Greenfield 1
Flint Town 3
TBD -
Bala -
Nantlle Vale FC 0
Colwyn Bay 1
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Undy 5
Pure Swansea 6
Haverfordwest 1
Cambrian United 2
Llanelli 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Bangor City 0
Prestatyn 3
TNS -
TBD -
Mold Alexandra 8
Llanrug 1
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Bangor 1876 0
Ruthin Town 2
Barry Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Rhyl 3
Queens Park 0
Chepstow Town 0
STM Sports 5
1/16-finals
Carmarthen Town 0
Ammanford Town 4
Goytre Utd 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Guilsfield 0
Pontardawe 3
Buckley 1
Abertillery Bluebirds 0
Connahs Q. 3
Afan Lido 5
Llandudno FC 1
Penybont 6
Porthmadog 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Pontypridd United 0
Flint Town 2
Bala 0
Colwyn Bay 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Pure Swansea 3
Cambrian United 0
Penrhyncoch 1
Prestatyn 2
TNS 9
Mold Alexandra 0
Aberystwyth 2
Ruthin Town 1
Barry Town 0
Newtown 1
Rhyl 2
STM Sports 0
1/8-finals
Ammanford Town 0
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 2
Pontardawe 0
Connahs Q. 8
Afan Lido 0
Penybont 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 3
Colwyn Bay 2
Pure Swansea 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 4
Aberystwyth 0
Newtown 4
Rhyl 1
Quarter-finals
Caernarfon 4
Cefn Druids 0
Connahs Q. 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Flint Town 0
Prestatyn 1
TNS 6
Newtown 1
Semi-finals
Caernarfon -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Prestatyn -
TNS -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
