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Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Roberts M.
7' Event
Owen D.
62' Event
Edwards C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Cymru North 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Mold Alexandra
15%
Draws
0%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mold Alexandra lately — more wins on the board than Penrhyncoch.
  • Model gives Mold Alexandra a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Cymru North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 20%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mold Alexandra Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 4 3
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.76 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.94 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
2:2
Mar 22, 2025 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
0:0
Nov 2, 2024 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Penrhyncoch
1:2
Oct 19, 2024 FAW Welsh Cup
Penrhyncoch vs Mold Alexandra
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Edwards C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.26
Avg xA / game 1.47

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Owen D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader James O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mold Alexandra 85 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mold Alexandra Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mold Alexandra found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Away concern: Penrhyncoch has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Penrhyncoch's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Mold Alexandra VS Penrhyncoch
2.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 3.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Mold Alexandra

(Home)
03 Oct
Mold Alexandra
1 : 2
Newtown
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
03 Oct
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Gresford
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llandudno FC 30 26 2 2 77:22 80
2 Airbus UK Broughton FC 30 24 3 3 93:22 75
3 Holywell Town FC 30 18 6 6 78:40 60
4 Newtown 30 15 3 12 51:49 48
5 Rhyl 30 14 4 12 46:55 46
6 Guilsfield 30 13 4 13 50:48 43
7 Mold Alexandra 30 12 5 13 38:45 41
8 Denbigh 30 12 4 14 52:59 40
9 Caersws FC 30 11 4 15 46:51 37
10 Brickfield Rangers 30 11 4 15 39:49 37
11 Holyhead 30 10 6 14 44:49 36
12 Penrhyncoch 30 10 5 15 45:53 35
13 Buckley 30 9 3 18 50:77 30
14 Flint Mountain 30 9 2 19 39:61 29
15 Gresford 30 8 4 18 47:87 28
16 Ruthin Town 30 6 5 19 36:64 23
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Main)