Sport Picks
Mold Alexandra vs TNS Prediction & H2H Stats
Wales
FAW Welsh Cup 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with TNS advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TNS
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and TNS come out ahead of Mold Alexandra on wins alone.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- TNS arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor TNS, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 68%
TNS Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mold Alexandra | TNS |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.91 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.56 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 18, 2025 FAW Welsh Cup
Mold Alexandra vs TNS
1:2
Dec 7, 2019 FAW Welsh Cup
TNS vs Mold Alexandra
9:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mold Alexandra 41 / 100
TNS 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mold Alexandra TNS
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mold Alexandra scored in 88% of their last 32 games.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Mold Alexandra went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
TNS has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mold Alexandra VS TNS
2.63 Goals Scored 3
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Mold Alexandra
(Home) 26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4 Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5 Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4 Mold Alexandra
Page 1 of 7
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Llanuwchllyn
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1 Bangor 1876
21 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Buckley
15 Aug
Mold Alexandra
1 : 0 Holyhead
01 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2 Caersws FC
Page 1 of 4
TNS
(Away) 26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
19 Sept
TNS
2 : 1 Llandudno FC
15 Sept
TNS
5 : 0 Flint Town
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2 TNS
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3 TNS
11 Sept
Airbus UK Broughton FC
0 : 2 TNS
31 Aug
Caernarfon
2 : 3 TNS
21 Aug
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5 TNS
02 Aug
Penybont
0 : 0 TNS
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Porthmadog 3
Denbigh 2
TBD -
Buckley -
Port Talbot 2
Seven Sisters 1
Afan Lido 3
Evans Williams 2
Pwllheli 1
Rhyl 3
Brickfield Rangers 3
NFA 1
Llantwit Major 2
Baglan Dragons 0
Cwmbran Town 5
Ynyshir Albions 4
Llanelli -
TBD -
TBD -
Haverfordwest -
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
TBD -
Barry Town -
Caerphilly 1
Caldicot 3
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 7
Pentwynmawr Ath 0
Saltney Town 3
Gresford 7
Llanrug 4
Ruthin Town 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
TBD -
Taffs Well 2
Abertillery Excelsiors 1
Mold Alexandra -
TBD -
TBD -
TNS -
Newtown -
TBD -
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Llannefydd 5
Llanberis FC 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Sychdyn Utd 0
Llwydcoed 3
Lliswerry 1
Pill -
Treowen -
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Rhayader 1
Cefn Cribwr 4
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Trethomas Bluebirds -
Llanfair United 1
Kinmel Bay 2
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Goytre Utd 2
Ammanford Town 1
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
TBD -
Penybont -
Bow Street 4
Cefn Albion 2
TBD -
Flint Town -
Holyhead 4
Forden Utd 0
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Cwmbach Royal Stars 3
Garden Village 4
Tredegar Town 1
Glynneath Town 3
Broughton Utd 2
Welshpool 1
Berriew FC 0
Trearddur Bay 3
Newport City -
TBD -
Penygraig Utd 3
Cwm Welfare 2
Blaenavon Blues 4
Canton 1
Pontyclun FC 4
Tata Steel 1
St. Asaph 0
Bangor 1876 6
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Holywell Town FC -
TBD -
Rhostyllen 5
Nefyn United 2
Dinas Powys 3
Afan United 1
Cardiff Draconians 4
Cwmbran Celtic 2
Abercarn United 1
Pure Swansea 2
TBD -
Trefelin -
Caersws FC 6
Hawarden Rangers 1
Dolgellau Athletic 8
Queens Park 3
Penydarren 0
Caerau Ely 5
Morriston Town 1
Clydach 0
Llandudno FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Flint Mountain -
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
1/32-finals
Porthmadog 1
Buckley 0
Port Talbot 3
Afan Lido 1
Rhyl 1
Brickfield Rangers 0
Llantwit Major 1
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 3
Haverfordwest 0
Aberystwyth 0
Barry Town 5
Caldicot 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 2
Gresford 9
Llanrug 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 5
Taffs Well 1
Mold Alexandra 1
TNS 2
Newtown 0
Caernarfon 3
Llannefydd 1
Penrhyncoch 2
Llwydcoed 2
Treowen 5
Pontypridd United 3
Cefn Cribwr 1
Carmarthen Town 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Kinmel Bay 0
Colwyn Bay 5
Goytre Utd 0
Cambrian United 6
Briton Ferry 0
Penybont 5
Bow Street 0
Flint Town 3
Holyhead 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 5
Garden Village 2
Glynneath Town 4
Broughton Utd 0
Trearddur Bay 6
Newport City 3
Penygraig Utd 1
Blaenavon Blues 4
Pontyclun FC 2
Bangor 1876 2
Guilsfield 1
Holywell Town FC 3
Rhostyllen 2
Dinas Powys 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Pure Swansea 1
Trefelin 6
Caersws FC 0
Dolgellau Athletic 1
Caerau Ely 3
Morriston Town 0
Llandudno FC 3
Flint Mountain 0
Bala 0
Connahs Q. 3
1/16-finals
Porthmadog 3
Port Talbot 2
Rhyl 3
Cwmbran Town 2
Llanelli 0
Barry Town 6
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 0
Gresford 3
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
TNS 1
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 0
Treowen 1
Pontypridd United 2
Carmarthen Town 1
Colwyn Bay 3
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Flint Town 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
Glynneath Town 2
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Blaenavon Blues 2
Bangor 1876 2
Holywell Town FC 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Trefelin 4
Dolgellau Athletic 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 2
Connahs Q. 1
1/8-finals
Porthmadog 1
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 4
Gresford 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Caernarfon 4
Pontypridd United 0
Colwyn Bay 3
Penybont 0
Flint Town 1
Trearddur Bay 5
Newport City 3
Bangor 1876 2
Trefelin 0
Caerau Ely 2
Llandudno FC 1
Quarter-finals
Rhyl 2
Barry Town 1
Caernarfon 4
Colwyn Bay 1
Flint Town 3
Trearddur Bay 0
Bangor 1876 3
Caerau Ely 1
Semi-finals
Rhyl 1
Caernarfon 2
Flint Town 5
Bangor 1876 1
Final
Caernarfon 3
Flint Town 0
