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Molde 2 vs Nardo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Halvorsen K.
38' Event
Zahl-Johansen M.
40' Event
Dyvik H.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 game between Molde 2 and Nardo finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molde 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Molde 2
39%
Draws
31%
Nardo
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Molde 2 come out ahead of Nardo on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Nardo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Molde 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Nardo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde 2 Nardo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 2 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 3 - Group 2
Molde 2 vs Nardo
4:2
Oct 11, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Molde 2 vs Nardo
2:3
Mar 31, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Nardo vs Molde 2
4:2
Jul 24, 2016 Division 2 - Group 2
Nardo vs Molde 2
3:1
Apr 9, 2016 Division 2 - Group 2
Molde 2 vs Nardo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyvik H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fugelsnes J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Nardo Compare

Top Goalscorer Halvorsen K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Zahl-Johansen M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 2 29 / 100
Nardo 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde 2 Nardo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MOL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molde 2 found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Nardo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Nardo has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Molde 2 VS Nardo
2 Goals Scored 1.75
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 63%