Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Molde vs Brann

Norway Norway

Eliteserien Aker Stadion, Molde
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
De Roeve D.
20'
Kabini S.
35'
Sub
Hoff V. In: Daga D.
Out: Hoff V.

AI Match Summary

The Eliteserien game between Molde and Brann finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brann.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Molde
44%
Draws
20%
Brann
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Brann carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Molde have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Molde Clean Sheet 13%
Brann Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molde Brann
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 13 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Eliteserien
Molde vs Brann
1:2
Nov 22, 2025 Eliteserien
Molde vs Brann
4:0
May 29, 2025 Eliteserien
Brann vs Molde
0:3
Nov 23, 2024 Eliteserien
Molde vs Brann
2:1
May 26, 2024 Eliteserien
Brann vs Molde
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Molde Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Brann Compare

Top Goalscorer De Roeve D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eriksen K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molde 35 / 100
Brann 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molde Brann

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Molde scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Brann let in goals in 91% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Molde has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Molde VS Brann
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Molde

(Home)
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
11 Jul
Aalesund
2 : 2
Molde
05 Jul
Rosenborg
2 : 1
Molde
28 Jun
Molde
1 : 4
Bodo/Glimt
21 Jun
Molde
5 : 1
KFUM Oslo
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Brann

(Away)
18 Jul
Molde
1 : 2
Brann
12 Jul
Brann
2 : 1
Start
03 Jul
Brann
1 : 2
Kristiansund
26 Jun
Aarhus Fremad
1 : 2
Brann
29 May
Brann
1 : 2
Sarpsborg 08
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tromso1594226:1531
2Viking12100231:1230
3Bodo/Glimt1392231:1129
4Lillestrom1381421:1225
5Molde1362521:1720
6Brann1461728:2219
7Ham-Kam1253420:2218
8Sarpsborg 081353514:1618
9Valerenga1352619:2217
10Rosenborg1343615:1815
11Sandefjord1343613:1715
12Fredrikstad1342715:2314
13KFUM Oslo1333713:2112
14Aalesund1326518:2812
15Kristiansund1333711:2112
16Start1414914:337
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation - OBOS-ligaen 2027 (Main)