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Moldova vs Cyprus

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Motpan N.
Assist: Revenco I.
45'
Loizou L.
45'
Craciun A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Moldova and Cyprus finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moldova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Moldova
30%
Draws
54%
Cyprus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cyprus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cyprus come out ahead of Moldova on wins alone.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Cyprus taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cyprus have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Moldova Clean Sheet 10%
Cyprus Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova Cyprus
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.03 1.21
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 30, 2026 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Moldova
3:2
Jun 8, 2024 Friendly International
Moldova vs Cyprus
3:2
Aug 10, 2011 Friendly International
Cyprus vs Moldova
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova Compare

Top Goalscorer Motpan N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stina V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Cyprus Compare

Top Goalscorer Spoljaric D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pittas I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova 22 / 100
Cyprus 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova Cyprus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cyprus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cyprus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Moldova's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Moldova stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moldova VS Cyprus
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova

(Home)
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
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Cyprus

(Away)
07 Jun
Liechtenstein
0 : 2
Cyprus
04 Jun
Slovenia
1 : 1
Cyprus
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Cyprus
0 : 1
Belarus
18 Nov
Cyprus
2 : 4
Estonia
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