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Moldova vs Faroe Islands - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Moldova Logo

Moldova

1 - 1
FT
Faroe Islands Logo

Faroe Islands

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Davidsen V.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Mandricenco D. In: Clescenco N.
Out: Mandricenco D.
52'
Sub
Baboglo V. In: Rata V.
Out: Baboglo V.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League game between Moldova and Faroe Islands finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Moldova
35%
Draws
38%
Faroe Islands
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Faroe Islands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Faroe Islands come out ahead of Moldova on wins alone.
  • Moldova are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Moldova Clean Sheet 68%
Faroe Islands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova Faroe Islands
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Moldova vs Faroe Islands
1:1
Sep 10, 2023 Euro
Faroe Islands vs Moldova
0:1
Mar 24, 2023 Euro
Moldova vs Faroe Islands
1:1
Sep 7, 2021 World Championship
Faroe Islands vs Moldova
2:1
Mar 25, 2021 World Championship
Moldova vs Faroe Islands
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova Compare

Top Goalscorer Perciun S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Faroe Islands Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova 46 / 100
Faroe Islands 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova Faroe Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Moldova found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Faroe Islands conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Moldova went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moldova VS Faroe Islands
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova

(Home)
06 Oct
Moldova
0 : 4
Slovakia
02 Oct
Kazakhstan
1 : 2
Moldova
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1
Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Slovakia
2 : 0
Moldova
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
Page 1 of 6

Faroe Islands

(Away)
06 Oct
Kazakhstan
2 : 2
Faroe Islands
02 Oct
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Slovakia
29 Sept
Moldova
1 : 1
Faroe Islands
26 Sept
Faroe Islands
1 : 1
Kazakhstan
09 Jun
Latvia
0 : 1
Faroe Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albania 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 Belarus 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Finland 4 2 1 1 9:2 7
4 San Marino 4 0 0 4 1:16 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro 4 3 1 0 7:4 10
2 Cyprus 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Armenia 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
4 Latvia 4 0 1 3 2:6 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Faroe Islands 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
3 Moldova 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Kazakhstan 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iceland 4 2 2 0 7:1 8
2 Estonia 4 1 3 0 2:1 6
3 Bulgaria 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
4 Luxembourg 4 1 0 3 2:7 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)