Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moldova vs San Marino

World World

Friendly International 2024 Stadionul Zimbru, Chişinău
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Rata V.
25'
Pasolini M.
45'
Mularoni M.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Moldova and San Marino finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moldova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Moldova
30%
Draws
23%
San Marino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Moldova carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Moldova taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Moldova have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Moldova Clean Sheet 68%
San Marino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova San Marino
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 2
Draws 7 3
Losses 15 24
Goals Scored 1.03 0.59
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2024 Friendly International
Moldova vs San Marino
1:0
Nov 15, 2018 UEFA Nations League
San Marino vs Moldova
0:1
Oct 12, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Moldova vs San Marino
2:0
Mar 19, 2017 Friendly International
San Marino vs Moldova
0:2
Oct 11, 2013 World Championship
Moldova vs San Marino
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova Compare

Top Goalscorer Rata V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

San Marino Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova 59 / 100
San Marino 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova San Marino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Marino let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Moldova's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Away concern: San Marino has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Moldova VS San Marino
1 Goals Scored 0.5
3.38 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova

(Home)
09 Jun
Armenia
1 : 1
Moldova
05 Jun
Moldova
2 : 2
Bulgaria
30 Mar
Cyprus
3 : 2
Moldova
26 Mar
Moldova
0 : 2
Lithuania
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
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San Marino

(Away)
09 Jun
Azerbaijan
2 : 1
San Marino
05 Jun
San Marino
1 : 2
Bangladesh
31 Mar
San Marino
0 : 0
Andorra
28 Mar
San Marino
1 : 2
Faroe Islands
18 Nov
Romania
7 : 1
San Marino
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