Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Moldova W vs Gibraltar W

Europe Europe

UEFA Nations League Women Nisporeni stadium, Nisporeni
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Rubanovici V.
27'
Virlan V.
32'
Chapman C.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League Women game between Moldova W and Gibraltar W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Moldova W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Moldova W
30%
Draws
0%
Gibraltar W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moldova W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Moldova W come out ahead of Gibraltar W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Moldova W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Moldova W Clean Sheet 68%
Gibraltar W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Moldova W Gibraltar W
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 7 1
Draws 10 1
Losses 13 25
Goals Scored 0.73 0.52
Goals Conceded 1.27 4.44
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Gibraltar W vs Moldova W
0:4
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Moldova W vs Gibraltar W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Moldova W Compare

Top Goalscorer Tabur C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Gibraltar W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Moldova W 95 / 100
Gibraltar W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Moldova W Gibraltar W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Moldova W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gibraltar W let in goals in 96% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Gibraltar W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Moldova W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Moldova W VS Gibraltar W
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
1 Goals Conceded 4.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Moldova W

(Home)
09 Jun
Cyprus W
0 : 2
Moldova W
05 Jun
Moldova W
0 : 0
Romania W
18 Apr
Greece W
1 : 1
Moldova W
14 Apr
Moldova W
0 : 0
Cyprus W
03 Mar
Romania W
1 : 0
Moldova W
Page 1 of 6

Gibraltar W

(Away)
09 Jun
Gibraltar W
0 : 8
Kosovo W
05 Jun
Bulgaria W
3 : 1
Gibraltar W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0
Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1
Croatia W
07 Mar
Gibraltar W
0 : 5
Bulgaria W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovakia W 6 6 0 0 27:1 18
2 Faroe Islands W 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Moldova W 6 2 1 3 6:6 7
4 Gibraltar W 6 0 0 6 0:30 0
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malta W 6 4 1 1 8:5 13
2 Cyprus W 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
3 Georgia W 6 2 0 4 9:11 6
4 Andorra W 6 1 2 3 6:8 5
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luxembourg W 6 5 1 0 20:6 16
2 Kazakhstan W 6 3 1 2 14:9 10
3 Armenia W 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Liechtenstein W 6 0 1 5 5:26 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Montenegro W 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
2 Azerbaijan W 4 1 2 1 3:6 5
3 Lithuania W 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Israel W 4 3 1 0 12:5 10
2 Estonia W 4 1 1 2 2:6 4
3 Bulgaria W 4 0 2 2 4:7 2
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Latvia W 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
2 Kosovo W 4 2 1 1 9:3 7
3 North Macedonia W 4 0 1 3 2:10 1
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women 2027 (League B)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League Women (Relegation - League B/C)
Ranking of third-placed teams