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Molina vs Moratalla

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Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 game between Molina and Moratalla finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Molina.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Molina
15%
Draws
36%
Moratalla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Molina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Molina carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Molina's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Molina Clean Sheet 16%
Moratalla Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molina Moratalla
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 12 5
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.41 2.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molina vs Moratalla
8:0
Nov 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Moratalla vs Molina
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molina 84 / 100
Moratalla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molina Moratalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molina Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Moratalla conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Molina scored in 66% of their last 41 outings.

Difficult form: Moratalla registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Molina VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Molina

(Home)
04 Aug
Ciudad Cieza
3 : 1
Molina
14 May
Yeclano
1 : 1
Molina
09 May
Molina
1 : 2
Futbol Club Jumilla
03 May
Molina
0 : 5
E.G. El Palmar
26 Apr
Club Edeco Fortuna
0 : 3
Molina
Page 1 of 9

Moratalla

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Moratalla
0 : 3
UCAM Murcia
01 May
Real Murcia B
4 : 1
Moratalla
20 Apr
Moratalla
2 : 3
Beniel
16 Apr
Molina
8 : 0
Moratalla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UCAM Murcia 38 27 5 6 81:22 86
2 Real Murcia B 38 25 9 4 69:18 84
3 Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC 38 25 8 5 85:28 83
4 Cartagena La Union 38 25 6 7 72:36 81
5 Ciudad Cieza 38 25 5 8 74:28 80
6 Bala Azul 38 18 12 8 59:45 66
7 Lorca FC 38 17 9 12 58:51 60
8 CA Pulpileno 38 16 9 13 53:42 57
9 Molina 38 15 8 15 60:45 53
10 Pinatar 38 13 13 12 50:51 52
11 Club Edeco Fortuna 38 15 7 16 39:57 52
12 Plus Ultra 38 14 6 18 44:57 48
13 Santomera 38 12 9 17 43:57 45
14 Cartagena FC UCAM 38 11 10 17 43:61 43
15 Moratalla 38 11 8 19 44:69 41
16 Calasparra FC 38 11 8 19 45:64 41
17 Base Abaran 38 9 9 20 28:47 36
18 FC Puente Tocinos 38 9 6 23 42:85 33
19 Beniel 38 4 3 31 32:93 15
20 Lorca Deportiva 38 2 2 34 7:72 8
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)