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Molinense vs Bala Azul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Molinense host Bala Azul in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This one's hard to separate. Bala Azul have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Molinense have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.43. Past meetings favor Molinense slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.19, favoring Molinense. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Molinense
35%
Draws
25%
Bala Azul
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Molinense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Bala Azul.
  • Win probability leans Molinense's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Molinense Clean Sheet 20%
Bala Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Molinense Bala Azul
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 8 11
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.43 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Bala Azul
2:1
Sep 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Molinense
0:0
Mar 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Bala Azul
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Bala Azul vs Molinense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Molinense 49 / 100
Bala Azul 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Molinense Bala Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Molinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Molinense found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Bala Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Molinense remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Molinense VS Bala Azul
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Molinense

(Home)
04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1
Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2
San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
Page 1 of 6

Bala Azul

(Away)
04 Oct
Cotillas CD
2 : 1
Bala Azul
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Aguilas FC B
0 : 0
Bala Azul
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
2 : 2
Bala Azul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)