Sport Picks
Match Events
56'
56'
Espin M.
90'
90'
Hernandez J.
AI Match Summary
The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between Molinense and Caravaca finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Molinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Caravaca haven't matched Molinense's recent run of results.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Molinense Clean Sheet 20%
Caravaca Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molinense | Caravaca |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 16 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Caravaca
1:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Molinense
1:2
Feb 9, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Caravaca
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Caravaca vs Molinense
0:1
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Caravaca
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Caravaca Compare
Top Goalscorer Espin M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molinense 32 / 100
Caravaca 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molinense Caravaca
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Molinense scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.
Caravaca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Solid form: Molinense remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Molinense VS Caravaca
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Molinense
(Home) 24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
17 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
0 : 0 Molinense
10 May
Real Murcia B
0 : 2 Molinense
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
26 Apr
Minerva
2 : 0 Molinense
Page 1 of 7
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1 CA Pulpileno
02 Apr
Molinense
3 : 3 UCAM Murcia B
22 Mar
Molinense
3 : 0 E.G. El Palmar
Page 1 of 3
Caravaca
(Away) 09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
03 May
Caravaca
0 : 1 Club Olimpico de Totana
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
19 Apr
Caravaca
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 6
09 May
Bala Azul
2 : 4 Caravaca
25 Apr
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 0 Caravaca
12 Apr
Yeclano B
3 : 1 Caravaca
28 Mar
CA Pulpileno
1 : 0 Caravaca
01 Mar
E.G. El Palmar
3 : 1 Caravaca
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 65:21 | 73 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:44 | 59 |
| 3 | Molinense | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 46:34 | 59 |
| 4 | Club Olimpico de Totana | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 44:27 | 58 |
| 5 | Mazarron FC | 34 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 50:33 | 56 |
| 6 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 13 | 16 | 5 | 55:37 | 55 |
| 7 | Aguilas FC B | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 47:42 | 52 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 30:29 | 50 |
| 9 | Santa Cruz | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | 35:37 | 48 |
| 10 | Minerva | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 28:39 | 44 |
| 11 | Bala Azul | 34 | 8 | 16 | 10 | 39:36 | 40 |
| 12 | FC Cartagena SAD B | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 40:39 | 38 |
| 13 | Deportivo Maritimo | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38:46 | 36 |
| 14 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 27:48 | 32 |
| 15 | Santomera | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 38:64 | 32 |
| 16 | Caravaca | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:44 | 31 |
| 17 | Muleno CF | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 33:58 | 31 |
| 18 | Yeclano B | 34 | 6 | 9 | 19 | 25:54 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
