Sport Picks
Molinense vs Montecasillas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 
Match Events
18'
18'
Lopez S.
37'
37'
Molina J.
44'
44'
Lopez S.
AI Match Summary
Molinense in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molinense.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Molinense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Molinense lately — more wins on the board than Montecasillas.
- Model gives Molinense a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Molinense Clean Sheet 68%
Montecasillas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molinense | Montecasillas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 2.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Montecasillas vs Molinense
1:3
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Molinense vs Montecasillas
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Molinense Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lopez Moreno E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Montecasillas Compare
Top Goalscorer Molina J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molinense 95 / 100
Montecasillas 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molinense Montecasillas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Molinense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Montecasillas let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.
H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.
Molinense scored in 71% of their last 31 games.
Molinense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Molinense VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Molinense
(Home) 04 Oct
Aguilas FC B
1 : 1 Molinense
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2 Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0 Molinense
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2 San Javier
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4 Molinense
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2 Mazarron FC
13 Sept
Molinense
2 : 2 San Javier
24 May
Molinense
0 : 2 Club Olimpico de Totana
03 May
Molinense
2 : 0 Yeclano B
19 Apr
Molinense
1 : 1 CA Pulpileno
Page 1 of 3
Montecasillas
(Away) 12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
04 May
Montecasillas
1 : 3 Molinense
01 May
Caravaca
8 : 0 Montecasillas
27 Apr
Montecasillas
1 : 7 Lorca Deportiva
21 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 0 Montecasillas
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Ciudad de Murcia
0 : 1 Montecasillas
01 May
Caravaca
8 : 0 Montecasillas
21 Apr
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 0 Montecasillas
07 Apr
Plus Ultra
2 : 1 Montecasillas
24 Mar
Alcantarilla
2 : 1 Montecasillas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 53:19 | 78 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 67:33 | 68 |
| 3 | Ciudad Cieza | 34 | 19 | 11 | 4 | 44:24 | 68 |
| 4 | UCAM Murcia B | 34 | 19 | 5 | 10 | 42:24 | 62 |
| 5 | Caravaca | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 60:32 | 61 |
| 6 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 64:30 | 59 |
| 7 | Molinense | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 60:34 | 59 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 34 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 39:23 | 52 |
| 9 | Muleno CF | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:42 | 43 |
| 10 | Racing Murcia | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 36:51 | 40 |
| 11 | Plus Ultra | 34 | 12 | 2 | 20 | 43:56 | 38 |
| 12 | E.G. El Palmar | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 33:52 | 36 |
| 13 | Bullense | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 40:65 | 36 |
| 14 | Balsicas Atletico | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:53 | 36 |
| 15 | Alcantarilla | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 34:41 | 36 |
| 16 | Ciudad de Murcia | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 28:43 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Algar | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:65 | 29 |
| 18 | Montecasillas | 34 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 31:90 | 23 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
