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Mollerussa vs CF Badalona

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Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

72' Event
Penalver J.

AI Match Summary

CF Badalona in this Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored CF Badalona.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Mollerussa
30%
Draws
42%
CF Badalona
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CF Badalona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • CF Badalona have won more games recently than Mollerussa.
  • Mollerussa are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Mollerussa Clean Sheet 68%
CF Badalona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mollerussa CF Badalona
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 9 16
Draws 9 8
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs CF Badalona
0:1
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Mollerussa
1:1
Feb 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs CF Badalona
2:3
Oct 13, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Badalona vs Mollerussa
2:1
Feb 18, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Mollerussa vs CF Badalona
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mollerussa Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

CF Badalona Compare

Top Goalscorer Penalver J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mollerussa 68 / 100
CF Badalona 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mollerussa CF Badalona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mollerussa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mollerussa found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Mollerussa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

CF Badalona's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Mollerussa VS CF Badalona
1.33 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 75%
67% Over 2.5 38%
33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mollerussa

(Home)
10 May
CE Europa B
0 : 3
Mollerussa
03 May
Mollerussa
1 : 2
FE Grama
26 Apr
UE Tona
0 : 0
Mollerussa
19 Apr
Mollerussa
0 : 0
Lleida
12 Apr
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
Mollerussa
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CF Badalona

(Away)
15 Aug
CF Badalona
0 : 2
Espanyol B
08 Aug
L Hospitalet
2 : 3
CF Badalona
21 Jun
CF Badalona
2 : 0
Compostela
14 Jun
Compostela
3 : 0
CF Badalona
07 Jun
CF Badalona
3 : 0
Cornella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Manresa 34 19 9 6 55:32 66
2 CF Badalona 34 17 12 5 43:27 63
3 Cornella 34 17 9 8 50:36 60
4 CF Vilanova 34 15 11 8 38:27 56
5 L Hospitalet 34 16 7 11 55:39 55
6 FE Grama 34 14 12 8 49:35 54
7 FC Lescala 34 12 10 12 51:51 46
8 Peralada 34 11 13 10 45:39 46
9 UE Tona 34 10 15 9 35:31 45
10 CE Europa B 34 12 9 13 44:53 45
11 Montanesa 34 11 9 14 31:39 42
12 Mollerussa 34 9 13 12 39:43 40
13 Vilassar de Mar 34 9 11 14 36:38 38
14 San Cristobal CP 34 8 13 13 39:48 37
15 Cerdanyola del Valles 34 6 16 12 40:53 34
16 Can Vidalet 34 8 9 17 35:53 33
17 UE Vic 34 7 11 16 31:47 32
18 Lleida 34 4 13 17 21:46 25
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 (Play Offs)