Sport Picks
Molodechno vs Smorgon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Belarus
Pershaya Liga Molodechno Haradzki Stadion, Molodechno 
Match Events
14'
14'
Gruzhevskiy D.
38'
38'
Koval I.
Assist: Velisevich D.
39'
39'
Chernykh I.
AI Match Summary
Molodechno in this Pershaya Liga matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Molodechno.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Molodechno lately — more wins on the board than Smorgon.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Pershaya Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Molodechno Clean Sheet 20%
Smorgon Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Molodechno | Smorgon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 10 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.48 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Pershaya Liga
Molodechno vs Smorgon
3:0
Nov 23, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Smorgon vs Molodechno
1:0
Jun 27, 2025 Vysshaya Liga
Molodechno vs Smorgon
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Molodechno vs Smorgon
1:1
Mar 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Smorgon vs Molodechno
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Molodechno Compare
Top Goalscorer Koval I.
1 Goals Assists Leader Chernykh I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Smorgon Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Molodechno 36 / 100
Smorgon 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Molodechno Smorgon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Smorgon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Molodechno found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Smorgon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Molodechno went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Molodechno VS Smorgon
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Molodechno
(Home) 03 Oct
Molodechno
1 : 4 Slutsk
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2 Ostrovets
12 Sept
FC Slonim
0 : 0 Molodechno
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0 BATE 2
29 Aug
Uni X Labs
0 : 1 Molodechno
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Molodechno
1 : 4 Slutsk
20 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 2 Ostrovets
04 Sept
Molodechno
3 : 0 BATE 2
21 Aug
Molodechno
4 : 1 Soligorsk
15 Aug
Molodechno
3 : 0 FC Gomel 2
Page 1 of 3
Smorgon
(Away) 03 Oct
Smorgon
2 : 0 Osipovichi
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1 Smorgon
19 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 0 Niva Dolbizno
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
06 Sept
Smorgon
1 : 1 Slutsk
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
FK Lida
2 : 1 Smorgon
12 Sept
SKA-1938 Minsk
0 : 2 Smorgon
30 Aug
Din. Minsk 2
3 : 2 Smorgon
16 Aug
FC Slonim
0 : 2 Smorgon
05 Aug
Uni X Labs
2 : 0 Smorgon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slutsk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 56:28 | 57 |
| 2 | Niva Dolbizno | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 67:31 | 55 |
| 3 | FK Lida | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 51:43 | 54 |
| 4 | SKA-1938 Minsk | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:31 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Slonim | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 6 | Molodechno | 26 | 14 | 3 | 9 | 45:40 | 45 |
| 7 | BumProm Gomel | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52:41 | 41 |
| 8 | Soligorsk | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 52:44 | 40 |
| 9 | Din. Minsk 2 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 42:37 | 35 |
| 10 | Ostrovets | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 37:39 | 35 |
| 11 | Volna Pinsk | 27 | 10 | 4 | 13 | 40:50 | 34 |
| 12 | Smorgon | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 33:36 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Minsk 2 | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 37:50 | 30 |
| 14 | Orsha | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 28:51 | 27 |
| 15 | Uni X Labs | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 25:35 | 26 |
| 16 | BATE 2 | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 36:61 | 22 |
| 17 | FC Gomel 2 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 36:55 | 21 |
| 18 | Osipovichi | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 29:67 | 19 |
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Vysshaya Liga (Relegation)
