Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Migori
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Mombasa United haven't matched Migori's recent run of results.
- Model gives Mombasa United a 42% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 68%
Migori Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Mombasa United | Migori |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 23 | 25 |
| Wins | 15 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.38 | 0.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 3, 2026 Super League
Mombasa United vs Migori
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 Super League
Migori vs Mombasa United
3:2
Apr 19, 2025 Super League
Mombasa United vs Migori
4:1
Jan 26, 2025 Super League
Migori vs Mombasa United
0:1
Mar 10, 2024 Super League
Migori vs Mombasa United
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Mombasa United 51 / 100
Migori 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Mombasa United Migori
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mombasa United scored in 70% of their last 23 games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Mombasa United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Migori has conceded goals in 56% of their last 25 outings.
Scoring Trends
Mombasa United VS Migori
0.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.25 Goals Conceded 0.38
13% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Mombasa United
(Home) 13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1 Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0 Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0 Mombasa United
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 3K FC
24 May
Mwatate United
0 : 1 Mombasa United
Page 1 of 5
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0 Nzoia Sugar
27 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 3K FC
17 May
Mombasa United
2 : 1 Nairobi City Stars
03 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 Migori
19 Apr
Mombasa United
1 : 0 Soy United
Page 1 of 3
Migori
(Away) 13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1 Migori
07 Jun
Migori
2 : 1 Equity Bank
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1 Migori
27 May
Migori
2 : 1 MCF
23 May
Migori
1 : 0 Kibera
Page 1 of 5
13 Jun
3K FC
1 : 1 Migori
01 Jun
Kisumu All-Stars
0 : 1 Migori
17 May
Fortune Sacco
1 : 0 Migori
03 May
Mombasa United
0 : 0 Migori
18 Apr
Kabati
1 : 2 Migori
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Migori | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 57:29 | 81 |
| 2 | 3K FC | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 62:26 | 77 |
| 3 | Mombasa United | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 51:32 | 76 |
| 4 | Equity Bank | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 56:28 | 74 |
| 5 | MOFA | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 51:30 | 64 |
| 6 | Fortune Sacco | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 61:41 | 63 |
| 7 | Naivas FC | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 47:30 | 61 |
| 8 | Talanta FC | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Kibera | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 32:33 | 53 |
| 10 | Soy United | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 31:27 | 52 |
| 11 | Nzoia Sugar | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 37:36 | 50 |
| 12 | Gucha Stars | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 35:41 | 44 |
| 13 | Luanda Villa | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 30:51 | 43 |
| 14 | Kabati | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 32:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Kisumu All-Stars | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 23:47 | 39 |
| 16 | Nairobi City Stars | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 32:44 | 39 |
| 17 | Darajani Gogo | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 27:48 | 38 |
| 18 | MCF | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 24:42 | 34 |
| 19 | Vihiga United | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29:55 | 30 |
| 20 | Mwatate United | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 27:64 | 25 |
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
