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Mombasa United vs Ulinzi Stars - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Premier League
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mombasa United host Ulinzi Stars in the Premier League. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Mombasa United at 1.27 goals for, 0.77 against; Ulinzi Stars at 1 for, 1.04 against. Head-to-head, Mombasa United have won 0 to Ulinzi Stars's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on Oct 24, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.56 - 0.38) back Mombasa United to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Mombasa United
30%
Draws
37%
Ulinzi Stars
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulinzi Stars

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Mombasa United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Mombasa United are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Mombasa United Clean Sheet 20%
Ulinzi Stars Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mombasa United Ulinzi Stars
Matches Played 22 25
Wins 13 9
Draws 3 6
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2026 Premier League
Mombasa United vs Ulinzi Stars
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mombasa United 36 / 100
Ulinzi Stars 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mombasa United Ulinzi Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Mombasa United scored in 68% of their last 22 outings.

Ulinzi Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 25 matches.

Mombasa United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Mombasa United VS Ulinzi Stars
0.75 Goals Scored 0.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Mombasa United

(Home)
19 Oct
Mara Sugar
2 : 1
Mombasa United
14 Oct
Mombasa United
0 : 1
Kakamega Homeboyz
01 Oct
Mombasa United
2 : 1
Kariobangi Sharks
13 Jun
Naivas FC
1 : 1
Mombasa United
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
Page 1 of 5

Ulinzi Stars

(Away)
24 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 0
Mara Sugar
18 Oct
Kakamega Homeboyz
1 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
11 Oct
Ulinzi Stars
0 : 2
Tusker
31 May
Posta Rangers
0 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
27 May
Ulinzi Stars
2 : 0
Tusker
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mahia 3 3 0 0 6:2 9
2 Mara Sugar 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 Leopards 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
4 Kakamega Homeboyz 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
5 Shabana 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
6 KCB 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
7 Muranga 2 1 0 1 7:5 3
8 Tusker 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
9 Posta Rangers 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
10 3K FC 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
11 Nairobi United 2 0 2 0 2:2 2
12 Migori 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
13 Bandari 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
14 Mathare United 3 0 2 1 0:1 2
15 Ulinzi Stars 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
16 Police FC 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
17 APS Bomet 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
18 Mombasa United 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Super League 2027/2028 (Main)