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Monaco II vs Bastia Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Alfarela M.
21' Event
Baglieri E.
46'
Sub
Alfarela M. In: Djoco K.
Out: Alfarela M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Monaco II and Bastia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Monaco II
20%
Draws
36%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaco II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Bastia haven't matched Monaco II's recent run of results.
  • Monaco II are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 20%
Bastia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaco II Bastia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 3 13
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.52 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Monaco II vs Bastia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monaco II Compare

Top Goalscorer Baglieri E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfarela M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaco II 36 / 100
Bastia 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaco II Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monaco II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bastia has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Monaco II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bastia
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaco II

(Home)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
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Bastia

(Away)
01 Oct
Bastia
1 : 1
Orleans
26 Sept
Paris 13 Atletico
1 : 0
Bastia
17 Sept
Bastia
1 : 1
Cannes
12 Sept
Bourg Peronnas
0 : 1
Bastia
05 Sept
Bastia
0 : 3
Amiens SC
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