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Monaco II vs Bastia

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Alfarela M.
21' Event
Baglieri E.
46'
Sub
Alfarela M. In: Djoco K.
Out: Alfarela M.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2024 game between Monaco II and Bastia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Monaco II
40%
Draws
29%
Bastia
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Bastia haven't matched Monaco II's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Monaco II Clean Sheet 20%
Bastia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaco II Bastia
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 11
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 2 0.38
Goals Conceded 2 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Monaco II vs Bastia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monaco II Compare

Top Goalscorer Baglieri E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bastia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfarela M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaco II 32 / 100
Bastia 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaco II Bastia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monaco II scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Bastia has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Monaco II remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monaco II VS Bastia
2 Goals Scored 0.38
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 13%
100% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaco II

(Home)
10 Feb
Wolves U21
3 : 1
Monaco II
20 Jan
Manchester City U21
1 : 3
Monaco II
19 Dec
Everton U21
2 : 1
Monaco II
02 Dec
Southampton U21
0 : 2
Monaco II
09 Aug
Monaco II
0 : 2
Arsenal U21
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Bastia

(Away)
24 Jul
Aubagne FC
1 : 1
Bastia
10 Jul
Rodez
5 : 3
Bastia
09 May
Bastia
0 : 2
Le Mans
02 May
Guingamp
0 : 1
Bastia
24 Apr
Clermont
1 : 1
Bastia
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