Sport Picks
Match Events
7'
7'
Akliouche M.
11'
11'
Danois K.
33'
33'
Sinayoko L.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
15%
27%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monaco
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Monaco lately — more wins on the board than Auxerre.
- Model gives Monaco a 58% chance of winning this.
- Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Monaco here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Monaco Clean Sheet 20%
Auxerre Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monaco | Auxerre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 27 |
| Wins | 17 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.97 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 19, 2026 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Auxerre
2:2
Dec 21, 2025 Coupe de France
Auxerre vs Monaco
1:2
Sep 13, 2025 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Monaco
1:2
Feb 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs Auxerre
4:2
Sep 14, 2024 Ligue 1
Auxerre vs Monaco
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Fati A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Auxerre Compare
Top Goalscorer Danois K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sinayoko L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monaco 85 / 100
Auxerre 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monaco Auxerre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monaco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monaco's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Monaco has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Auxerre let in goals in 70% of their last 27 matches.
Scoring Trends
Monaco VS Auxerre
2 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Monaco
(Home) 18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1 Lens
12 Sept
Strasbourg
1 : 1 Monaco
04 Sept
PSG
1 : 2 Monaco
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0 Marseille
27 Aug
Monaco
4 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
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18 Sept
Monaco
2 : 1 Lens
30 Aug
Monaco
2 : 0 Marseille
27 Aug
Monaco
4 : 1 Gornik Zabrze
06 Aug
Monaco
1 : 0 Getafe
31 Jul
Monaco
2 : 2 Cercle Brugge
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Auxerre
(Away) 20 Sept
Auxerre
2 : 1 Brest
12 Sept
Auxerre
1 : 0 Nice
04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1 Auxerre
29 Aug
Auxerre
1 : 3 Angers
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2 Auxerre
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04 Sept
Lyon
3 : 1 Auxerre
22 Aug
Lens
5 : 2 Auxerre
15 Aug
Werder Bremen
0 : 1 Auxerre
01 Aug
Sochaux
1 : 1 Auxerre
17 May
Lille
0 : 2 Auxerre
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSG | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 76 |
| 2 | Lens | 34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 70 |
| 3 | Lille | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 61 |
| 4 | Lyon | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 60 |
| 5 | Marseille | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 59 |
| 6 | Rennes | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 59 |
| 7 | Monaco | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 54 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 53 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorient | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | 45 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | 44 |
| 12 | Brest | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | 39 |
| 13 | Angers | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | 36 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | 35 |
| 15 | Auxerre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | 34 |
| 16 | Nice | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | 32 |
| 17 | Nantes | 34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 29:52 | 24 |
| 18 | Metz | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | 17 |
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 1 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)
