Sport Picks
Match Events
1'
1'
Balogun F.
Assist: Golovin A.
18'
18'
Balogun F.
Assist: Akliouche M.
21'
21'
Faes W.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 2-3, with PSG advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PSG
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and PSG come out ahead of Monaco on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Monaco's way, sitting at 50%.
- PSG arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor PSG, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Monaco Clean Sheet 11%
PSG Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monaco | PSG |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 19 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.88 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.88 | 1.63 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 6, 2026 Ligue 1
PSG vs Monaco
1:3
Feb 25, 2026 Champions League
PSG vs Monaco
2:2
Feb 17, 2026 Champions League
Monaco vs PSG
2:3
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 1
Monaco vs PSG
1:0
Feb 7, 2025 Ligue 1
PSG vs Monaco
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Monaco Compare
Top Goalscorer Balogun F.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
PSG Compare
Top Goalscorer Doue D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Hakimi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monaco 47 / 100
PSG 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monaco PSG
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Monaco's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
Solid form: Monaco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
PSG has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Monaco VS PSG
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Monaco
(Home) 06 Aug
Monaco
1 : 0 Getafe
31 Jul
Monaco
2 : 2 Cercle Brugge
25 Jul
Sporting CP
2 : 0 Monaco
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2 Saint Priest
17 May
Strasbourg
5 : 4 Monaco
Page 1 of 6
06 Aug
Monaco
1 : 0 Getafe
31 Jul
Monaco
2 : 2 Cercle Brugge
18 Jul
Monaco
5 : 2 Saint Priest
10 May
Monaco
0 : 1 Lille
19 Apr
Monaco
2 : 2 Auxerre
Page 1 of 3
PSG
(Away) 05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
30 May
PSG
2 : 1 Arsenal
17 May
Paris FC
2 : 1 PSG
13 May
Lens
0 : 2 PSG
10 May
PSG
1 : 0 Brest
Page 1 of 6
05 Aug
Mallorca
3 : 0 PSG
17 May
Paris FC
2 : 1 PSG
13 May
Lens
0 : 2 PSG
06 May
Bayern Munich
1 : 1 PSG
25 Apr
Angers
0 : 3 PSG
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Monaco 4
PSG 5
Chelsea -
TBD -
Galatasaray 7
Juventus 5
Liverpool -
TBD -
Benfica 1
Real Madrid 3
Manchester City -
TBD -
Dortmund 3
Atalanta 4
Bayern Munich -
TBD -
Qarabag Agdam 3
Newcastle Utd 9
Barcelona -
TBD -
Club Brugge 4
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham -
TBD -
Bodo/Glimt 5
Inter 2
Sporting CP -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus 0
Bayer Leverkusen 2
Arsenal -
TBD -
1/8-finals
PSG 8
Chelsea 2
Galatasaray 1
Liverpool 4
Real Madrid 5
Manchester City 1
Atalanta 2
Bayern Munich 10
Newcastle Utd 3
Barcelona 8
Atl. Madrid 7
Tottenham 5
Bodo/Glimt 3
Sporting CP 5
Bayer Leverkusen 1
Arsenal 3
Quarter-finals
PSG 4
Liverpool 0
Real Madrid 4
Bayern Munich 6
Barcelona 2
Atl. Madrid 3
Sporting CP 0
Arsenal 1
Semi-finals
PSG 6
Bayern Munich 5
Atl. Madrid 1
Arsenal 2
Final
PSG 2
Arsenal 1
