Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monagas vs Caracas

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Basante F.
28'
Sulbaran Y.
42' Event
Farias E.
Assist: Sulbaran Y.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Monagas
35%
Draws
31%
Caracas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates Monagas and Caracas on recent form.
  • Model gives Monagas a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga FUTVE form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Monagas Clean Sheet 18%
Caracas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Caracas
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 9
Draws 3 12
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:4
Sep 20, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Caracas vs Monagas
1:2
Mar 24, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Caracas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Farias E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Caracas Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 41 / 100
Caracas 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Caracas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Monagas found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Caracas has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Monagas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Caracas
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
03 Sept
Academia Anzoategui
1 : 3
Monagas
30 Aug
Trujillanos
3 : 1
Monagas
26 Aug
Bolivar
1 : 3
Monagas
23 Aug
Monagas
0 : 0
Portuguesa
19 Aug
Monagas
1 : 0
Mineros
Page 1 of 6

Caracas

(Away)
02 Sept
Caracas
1 : 1
Portuguesa
30 Aug
Dep. Tachira
0 : 0
Caracas
26 Aug
Caracas
3 : 1
Barquisimeto
21 Aug
Caracas
1 : 1
Carabobo
18 Aug
Yaracuyanos
2 : 3
Caracas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira 13 7 6 0 15:6 27
2 Metropolitanos 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
3 Dep. Tachira 13 7 3 3 17:12 24
4 Universidad Central 13 7 2 4 24:20 23
5 Portuguesa 13 5 5 3 20:12 20
6 Estudiantes Merida 13 6 2 5 21:18 20
7 Carabobo 13 4 7 2 23:14 19
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Zamora 13 4 5 4 14:14 17
10 Caracas 13 3 6 4 15:17 15
11 Rayo Zuliano 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
12 Monagas 13 3 2 8 14:22 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 3 8 15:25 9
14 Trujillanos 13 0 4 9 9:26 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)