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Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE 2025 Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Welch J.
46'
Sub
Gutierrez J. In: Ascanio G.
Out: Gutierrez J.
46'
Sub
Lujano C. In: Fuenmayor A.
Out: Lujano C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga FUTVE 2025 game between Monagas and Deportivo La Guaira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Deportivo La Guaira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Monagas
6%
Draws
4%
Deportivo La Guaira
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Deportivo La Guaira come out ahead of Monagas on wins alone.
  • Model gives Monagas a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Deportivo La Guaira have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Monagas Clean Sheet 68%
Deportivo La Guaira Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Deportivo La Guaira
Matches Played 25 31
Wins 5 10
Draws 4 14
Losses 16 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Oct 31, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
0:1
Jul 7, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Deportivo La Guaira vs Monagas
2:0
Jan 25, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Deportivo La Guaira
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Deportivo La Guaira Compare

Top Goalscorer Uribe A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 95 / 100
Deportivo La Guaira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Deportivo La Guaira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (25 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Monagas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Deportivo La Guaira registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Deportivo La Guaira
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
24 Jun
Dynamo Puerto FC
0 : 4
Monagas
25 Apr
Monagas
1 : 1
Academia Puerto Cabello
19 Apr
Estudiantes Merida
3 : 2
Monagas
11 Apr
Monagas
3 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
04 Apr
Zamora
2 : 1
Monagas
Page 1 of 5

Deportivo La Guaira

(Away)
31 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 2
Academia Puerto Cabello
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1
Deportivo La Guaira
23 May
Portuguesa
0 : 2
Deportivo La Guaira
21 May
Deportivo La Guaira
2 : 4
Ind. Rivadavia
15 May
Deportivo La Guaira
0 : 0
Universidad Central
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Academia Puerto Cabello541011:413
2Deportivo La Guaira62225:78
3Zamora52125:57
4Monagas61055:103
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2025 (Clausura - Final)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Carabobo642010:214
2Caracas62317:79
3Dep. Tachira61327:76
4Metropolitanos60244:122
Promotion - Liga FUTVE 2025 (Clausura - Final)