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Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano Prediction & H2H Stats

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín, Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Martinez J.
45'
Gomez J.
52' Event
Rodriguez R.
Assist: Carrion E.

AI Match Summary

Monagas in this Liga FUTVE matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monagas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Monagas
35%
Draws
24%
Rayo Zuliano
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Monagas have won more games recently than Rayo Zuliano.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Monagas taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Monagas Clean Sheet 17%
Rayo Zuliano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Rayo Zuliano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas
1:1
Apr 11, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano
3:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas
3:1
Apr 10, 2025 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Rayo Zuliano
3:2
Sep 4, 2024 Liga FUTVE
Rayo Zuliano vs Monagas
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Farias E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Rayo Zuliano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 48 / 100
Rayo Zuliano 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Rayo Zuliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monagas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rayo Zuliano let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Monagas scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Monagas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Rayo Zuliano
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
50% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Monagas

(Home)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Monagas
1 : 0
Zamora
13 Sept
Caracas
0 : 1
Monagas
09 Sept
Monagas
5 : 1
Bolivar
06 Sept
Monagas
0 : 1
Metropolitanos
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Rayo Zuliano

(Away)
19 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Monagas
16 Sept
Trujillanos
2 : 4
Rayo Zuliano
13 Sept
Rayo Zuliano
1 : 1
Portuguesa
09 Sept
Urena
0 : 0
Rayo Zuliano
06 Sept
Dep. Tachira
3 : 1
Rayo Zuliano
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo La Guaira 13 7 6 0 15:6 27
2 Metropolitanos 13 7 4 2 17:10 25
3 Dep. Tachira 13 7 3 3 17:12 24
4 Universidad Central 13 7 2 4 24:20 23
5 Portuguesa 13 5 5 3 20:12 20
6 Estudiantes Merida 13 6 2 5 21:18 20
7 Carabobo 13 4 7 2 23:14 19
8 Academia Puerto Cabello 13 4 5 4 16:14 17
9 Zamora 13 4 5 4 14:14 17
10 Caracas 13 3 6 4 15:17 15
11 Rayo Zuliano 13 4 2 7 13:23 14
12 Monagas 13 3 2 8 14:22 11
13 Academia Anzoategui 13 2 3 8 15:25 9
14 Trujillanos 13 0 4 9 9:26 4
Promotion - Liga FUTVE (Apertura - Quadrangular)