Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monagas vs Trujillanos

Venezuela Venezuela

Liga FUTVE Estadio Monumental de Maturín
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Livingston D.
(Penalty)
36'
Lima E.
44'
Sub
Livingston D. In: Mendez J.
Out: Livingston D.

AI Match Summary

Monagas host Trujillanos in the Liga FUTVE. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Monagas at 1.38 goals for, 0.75 against; Trujillanos at 0.25 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Monagas slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 8, 2026, ending 3:1. xG projections (1.25 - 0.50) back Trujillanos to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Monagas
22%
Draws
18%
Trujillanos
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Monagas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Trujillanos has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Monagas.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Monagas.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Liga FUTVE provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Monagas Clean Sheet 68%
Trujillanos Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monagas Trujillanos
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.38 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 8, 2026 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Trujillanos
3:1
Jul 7, 2024 Copa Venezuela
Trujillanos vs Monagas
0:1
Apr 26, 2020 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Monagas
0:0
Sep 7, 2019 Liga FUTVE
Trujillanos vs Monagas
3:2
Mar 27, 2019 Liga FUTVE
Monagas vs Trujillanos
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monagas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Renteria M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Trujillanos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monagas 68 / 100
Trujillanos 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monagas Trujillanos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monagas scored in 68% of their last 25 games.

Trujillanos let in goals in 68% of their last 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Monagas went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Trujillanos lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monagas VS Trujillanos
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo La Guaira1376015:627
2Metropolitanos1374217:1025
3Dep. Tachira1373317:1224
4Universidad Central1372424:2023
5Portuguesa1355320:1220
6Estudiantes Merida1362521:1820
7Carabobo1347223:1419
8Academia Puerto Cabello1345416:1417
9Zamora1345414:1417
10Caracas1336415:1715
11Rayo Zuliano1342713:2314
12Monagas1332814:2211
13Academia Anzoategui1323815:259
14Trujillanos130499:264