Sport Picks

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Monaghan United vs Bohemians

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Fri, Jul 20, 2012
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monaghan United host Bohemians in the Premier Division 2012. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Monaghan United have averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded recently, against Bohemians's 1.84 scored and 1.38 conceded. Head-to-head, Monaghan United have won 2 to Bohemians's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Oct 5, 2012, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.85 vs 1.43, favoring Bohemians. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Monaghan United
15%
Draws
58%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Bohemians carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Bohemians a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 17%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaghan United Bohemians
Matches Played 12 32
Wins 4 16
Draws 1 7
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1 1.84
Goals Conceded 2 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2012 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Monaghan United
0:0
Jul 20, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs Bohemians
0:0
Apr 20, 2012 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Monaghan United
1:2
May 11, 2010 League Cup
Monaghan United vs Bohemians
2:1
Feb 22, 2002 Premier Division
Bohemians vs Monaghan United
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaghan United 23 / 100
Bohemians 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaghan United Bohemians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monaghan United scored in 64% of their last 11 games.

Bohemians let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Monaghan United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bohemians
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaghan United

(Home)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Bohemians

(Away)
18 Sept
Bohemians
2 : 1
Drogheda
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)