Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-0, with Monaghan United advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monaghan United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Cherry Orchard carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Monaghan United taking it.
- Cherry Orchard arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Monaghan United, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 19%
Cherry Orchard Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Monaghan United | Cherry Orchard |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 13 | 21 |
| Wins | 4 | 7 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 7 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.92 | 1.62 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.60 | 1.27 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 16, 2009 FAI Cup
Monaghan United vs Cherry Orchard
4:0
Jun 14, 2009 FAI Cup
Cherry Orchard vs Monaghan United
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Monaghan United 49 / 100
Cherry Orchard 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Monaghan United Cherry Orchard
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Monaghan United scored in 67% of their last 12 outings.
Cherry Orchard has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.
Solid form: Monaghan United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Monaghan United VS Cherry Orchard
0 Goals Scored 1.43
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 86%
0% Over 2.5 57%
0% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Monaghan United
(Home) 26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3 Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2 Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3
26 Aug
Monaghan United
: St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4 St. Patricks
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0 Shamrock Rovers
15 May
Monaghan United
1 : 4 Derry City
27 Apr
Monaghan United
0 : 1 Bray
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Cherry Orchard
(Away) 26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3 Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0 Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2 Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1 Cherry Orchard
24 Apr
Cherry Orchard
1 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 5
26 Sept
Firhouse
3 : 3 Cherry Orchard
22 Apr
North End United
2 : 0 Cherry Orchard
28 Apr
Bangor Celtic
3 : 2 Cherry Orchard
21 May
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 1 Cherry Orchard
03 Apr
Killester Donnycarney
1 : 1 Cherry Orchard
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Sligo Rovers 4
Cork City 3
Ballymun Utd 0
Derry City 6
Dundalk 3
Mervue United 1
Mayfield Utd 1
Bohemians 8
St. Patricks 1
Limerick 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Monaghan United 6
Crumlin Utd 2
Shelbourne 1
Carrigaline Utd 0
Waterford 6
Bray 2
Bluebell Utd 1
Salthill 1
Tralee 2
Galway United 3
Finn Harps 0
Wexford 4
Longford 5
Shamrock Rovers 4
Drogheda 1
Arklow 1
UC Dublin 3
Athlone 2
Kildare County 1
Blarney Utd 0
Sporting Fingal 2
1/8-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Derry City 0
Dundalk 0
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Monaghan United 0
Crumlin Utd 0
Waterford 2
Bray 2
Tralee 0
Galway United 0
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
UC Dublin 1
Athlone 1
Sporting Fingal 4
Quarter-finals
Sligo Rovers 2
Bohemians 1
St. Patricks 1
Waterford 3
Bray 2
Longford 1
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sporting Fingal 4
Semi-finals
Sligo Rovers 1
Waterford 0
Bray 2
Sporting Fingal 4
Final
Sligo Rovers 1
Sporting Fingal 2
