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Monaghan United vs Kildare County

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2009 game between Monaghan United and Kildare County finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monaghan United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Monaghan United
15%
Draws
26%
Kildare County
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monaghan United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Monaghan United carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Monaghan United taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Monaghan United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 20%
Kildare County Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monaghan United Kildare County
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 24
Goals Scored 1.64 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2009 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Kildare County
6:1
Jul 25, 2009 Division 1
Kildare County vs Monaghan United
0:2
Apr 24, 2009 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Kildare County
5:1
Nov 2, 2008 Division 1
Monaghan United vs Kildare County
3:3
Aug 1, 2008 Division 1
Kildare County vs Monaghan United
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monaghan United 85 / 100
Kildare County 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monaghan United Kildare County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monaghan United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kildare County let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Monaghan United's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 13 recent games.

Monaghan United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monaghan United VS -
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monaghan United

(Home)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
Page 1 of 3

Kildare County

(Away)
07 Nov
Kildare County
1 : 5
Shelbourne
31 Oct
Waterford
2 : 0
Kildare County
23 Oct
Kildare County
1 : 2
Wexford
16 Oct
Monaghan United
6 : 1
Kildare County
09 Oct
Limerick
2 : 3
Kildare County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UC Dublin 33 23 5 5 63:21 74
2 Shelbourne 33 22 7 4 66:31 73
3 Sporting Fingal 33 21 6 6 68:28 69
4 Waterford 33 20 6 7 51:21 66
5 Monaghan United 33 16 7 10 58:48 55
6 Wexford 33 15 5 13 27:31 50
7 Limerick 33 11 9 13 48:43 42
8 Finn Harps 33 8 9 16 35:51 33
9 Longford 33 8 5 20 46:61 29
10 Athlone 33 6 9 18 32:63 27
11 Mervue United 33 6 5 22 28:64 23
12 Kildare County 33 4 3 26 25:85 15
Promotion - Premier Division 2010 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2009 (Promotion)
Promotion - Division 1 2009 (Promotion)