Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monastir vs Zarzis

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup Stade Mustapha Ben Jannet, Monastir
Sun, Apr 19, 2026
1 - 2
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

45'
Bouchniba R.
90'
Meheressi G.
104' Event
Chikhaoui R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monastir
15%
Draws
48%
Zarzis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zarzis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Monastir and Zarzis close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Win probability leans Monastir's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Zarzis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22.8%
Monastir Clean Sheet 68%
Zarzis Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monastir Zarzis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Tunisia Cup
Monastir vs Zarzis
1:2
Feb 15, 2026 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Zarzis
3:0
Sep 17, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Monastir
0:1
Mar 13, 2025 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Zarzis vs Monastir
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Ligue Professionnelle 1
Monastir vs Zarzis
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monastir Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikhaoui R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Zarzis Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Dhiaf A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monastir 50 / 100
Zarzis 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monastir Zarzis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monastir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Monastir went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Monastir's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Zarzis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 52% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Monastir VS Zarzis
1 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monastir

(Home)
29 Aug
Monastir
2 : 1
Stade Tunisien
22 Aug
Hamam-Sousse
0 : 0
Monastir
14 May
Monastir
3 : 0
Soliman
08 May
JS Kairouan
1 : 0
Monastir
04 May
Monastir
0 : 1
Metlaoui
Page 1 of 6

Zarzis

(Away)
29 Aug
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Zarzis
23 Aug
Zarzis
1 : 0
Olympique Beja
31 May
Zarzis
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
24 May
CS Sfaxien
0 : 1
Zarzis
20 May
Zarzis
2 : 0
CA Bizertin
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1