Sport Picks
Moncarapachense vs Industria
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
11'
11'
Lopes G.
75'
75'
Leal de Barros O. A.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Moncarapachense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Moncarapachense have won more games recently than Industria.
- Win probability leans Moncarapachense's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 68%
Industria Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Industria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 15, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Industria
1:1
Sep 28, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Moncarapachense
0:0
Jan 12, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Industria vs Moncarapachense
0:1
Aug 18, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Industria
5:2
Sep 11, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Moncarapachense vs Industria
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Moncarapachense Compare
Top Goalscorer Leal de Barros O. A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Industria Compare
Top Goalscorer Lopes G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moncarapachense 95 / 100
Industria 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moncarapachense Industria
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Moncarapachense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Industria let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Moncarapachense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Industria lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Moncarapachense VS Industria
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Moncarapachense
(Home) 18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0 Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3 Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0 Sintrense
08 Mar
Moncarapachense
1 : 0 Malveira
15 Feb
Moncarapachense
1 : 1 Industria
31 Jan
Moncarapachense
1 : 3 GD Alcochetense
Page 1 of 3
Industria
(Away) 18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0 Industria
12 Apr
Industria
0 : 0 O Elvas CAD
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1 Industria
22 Mar
Industria
1 : 4 Louletano
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0 Industria
Page 1 of 6
18 Apr
Alverca B
5 : 0 Industria
04 Apr
Juv. Evora
1 : 1 Industria
15 Mar
Sintrense
1 : 0 Industria
01 Mar
Malveira
4 : 2 Industria
15 Feb
Moncarapachense
1 : 1 Industria
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
