Sport Picks
Moncarapachense vs Louletano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
36'
36'
Bacem N.
36'
36'
Bacem N.
48'
48'
Ferreira L.
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 game between Moncarapachense and Louletano finished 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Louletano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Moncarapachense a 42% chance of winning this.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Moncarapachense Clean Sheet 68%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Moncarapachense | Louletano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 9 | 19 |
| Draws | 10 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 0.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Moncarapachense
1:0
Dec 7, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Louletano
0:0
Jan 19, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Moncarapachense vs Louletano
1:0
Sep 22, 2024 Taça de Portugal
Moncarapachense vs Louletano
2:1
Aug 27, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Moncarapachense
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Moncarapachense 51 / 100
Louletano 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Moncarapachense Louletano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recent resilience: Moncarapachense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Moncarapachense scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.
Defensive concern: Louletano conceded in 50% of 34 recent games.
Games between these two average 1.20 goals.
Scoring Trends
Moncarapachense VS Louletano
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0.67 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Moncarapachense
(Home) 18 Apr
O Elvas CAD
0 : 0 Moncarapachense
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
04 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0 Moncarapachense
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0 Sintrense
15 Mar
Portimonense B
0 : 3 Moncarapachense
Page 1 of 6
12 Apr
Moncarapachense
0 : 1 Juv. Evora
22 Mar
Moncarapachense
2 : 0 Sintrense
08 Mar
Moncarapachense
1 : 0 Malveira
15 Feb
Moncarapachense
1 : 1 Industria
31 Jan
Moncarapachense
1 : 3 GD Alcochetense
Page 1 of 3
Louletano
(Away) 20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2 Louletano
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2 Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0 Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1 Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Serpa
1 : 2 Louletano
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1 Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4 Louletano
08 Aug
Oliveirense
0 : 0 Louletano
31 May
Vitoria Sernache
1 : 1 Louletano
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Louletano | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 36:15 | 50 |
| 2 | Malveira | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 38:23 | 47 |
| 3 | Alverca B | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 49:32 | 47 |
| 4 | Juv. Evora | 26 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 36:23 | 46 |
| 5 | GD Alcochetense | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 33:22 | 41 |
| 6 | Sintrense | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 30:25 | 40 |
| 7 | Lagoa | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 44:34 | 39 |
| 8 | O Elvas CAD | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:29 | 34 |
| 9 | Serpa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:34 | 34 |
| 10 | Oriental | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Moncarapachense | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 21:21 | 31 |
| 12 | Portimonense B | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:42 | 22 |
| 13 | Industria | 26 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 20:45 | 14 |
| 14 | Vasco da Gama Vidigueira | 26 | 1 | 11 | 14 | 20:56 | 14 |
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
