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Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach Prediction & H2H Stats

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade John Grun, Mondorf-les-Bains
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Stoltz L.
Assist: Godart Y.
46'
Sub
Daham S. In: Majouga M.
Out: Daham S.
48' Event
Tinelli L.
Assist: Stoltz L.

AI Match Summary

Mondorf in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mondorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Mondorf
15%
Draws
26%
Jeunesse Canach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Jeunesse Canach haven't matched Mondorf's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mondorf's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondorf Jeunesse Canach
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.87 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Mondorf
1:0
Jul 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach
6:1
Apr 9, 2017 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach
3:0
Oct 23, 2016 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Mondorf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoltz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tinelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Jeunesse Canach Compare

Top Goalscorer Desevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondorf 95 / 100
Jeunesse Canach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondorf Jeunesse Canach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mondorf Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jeunesse Canach has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Mondorf remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mondorf VS Jeunesse Canach
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mondorf

(Home)
20 Sept
Kischpelt WIlwerwiltz
1 : 10
Mondorf
16 Sept
FC Residence Walferdange
2 : 1
Mondorf
13 Sept
Mondorf
1 : 2
UNA Strassen
06 Sept
Bissen
1 : 2
Mondorf
30 Aug
Mondorf
2 : 1
Progres Niedercorn
Page 1 of 6

Jeunesse Canach

(Away)
18 Sept
SC Ell
1 : 4
Jeunesse Canach
26 Jul
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 3
Ettelbruck
01 Jun
Jeunesse Canach
1 : 2
FC Residence Walferdange
23 May
FC Mamer
0 : 0
Jeunesse Canach
17 May
Jeunesse Canach
0 : 5
Bissen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bissen 30 20 5 5 70:27 65
2 Differdange 30 19 8 3 63:22 65
3 Mondorf 30 19 3 8 51:24 60
4 UNA Strassen 30 17 7 6 57:26 58
5 Dudelange 30 17 7 6 59:38 58
6 Jeunesse Esch 30 10 10 10 35:34 40
7 Racing Luxembourg 30 11 7 12 48:50 40
8 Kaerjeng 30 11 5 14 43:48 38
9 Hostert 30 10 6 14 35:56 36
10 Victoria Rosport 30 10 5 15 33:50 35
11 Progres Niedercorn 30 9 7 14 44:47 34
12 Hesperange 30 9 5 16 31:46 32
13 Jeunesse Canach 30 9 4 17 29:44 31
14 FC Mamer 30 8 5 17 33:59 29
15 Union Titus Petange 30 6 7 17 26:49 25
16 FC Rodange 91 30 6 7 17 28:65 25
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - BGL Ligue 2025/2026 (Relegation)