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Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach

Luxembourg Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade John Grun
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Stoltz L.
Assist: Godart Y.
46'
Sub
Daham S. In: Majouga M.
Out: Daham S.
48' Event
Tinelli L.
Assist: Stoltz L.

AI Match Summary

Mondorf in this BGL Ligue 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mondorf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Mondorf
22%
Draws
18%
Jeunesse Canach
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Mondorf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Jeunesse Canach haven't matched Mondorf's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Mondorf's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Mondorf Clean Sheet 68%
Jeunesse Canach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mondorf Jeunesse Canach
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 11
Draws 3 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Mondorf
1:0
Jul 30, 2023 Club Friendly
Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach
6:1
Apr 9, 2017 BGL Ligue
Mondorf vs Jeunesse Canach
3:0
Oct 23, 2016 BGL Ligue
Jeunesse Canach vs Mondorf
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Stoltz L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tinelli L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jeunesse Canach Compare

Top Goalscorer Desevic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondorf 68 / 100
Jeunesse Canach 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mondorf Jeunesse Canach

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Jeunesse Canach has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Away concern: Jeunesse Canach has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Mondorf VS Jeunesse Canach
1.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bissen30205570:2765
2Differdange30198363:2265
3Mondorf30193851:2460
4UNA Strassen30177657:2658
5Dudelange30177659:3858
6Jeunesse Esch3010101035:3440
7Racing Luxembourg301171248:5040
8Kaerjeng301151443:4838
9Hostert301061435:5636
10Victoria Rosport301051533:5035
11Progres Niedercorn30971444:4734
12Hesperange30951631:4632
13Jeunesse Canach30941729:4431
14FC Mamer30851733:5929
15Union Titus Petange30671726:4925
16FC Rodange 9130671728:6525