Sport Picks

Luxembourg

BGL Ligue 2025/2026 Stade John Grun

Mondorf

1 - 1

Jeunesse Esch

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Steinmetz C.

45'

Deher M.

Assist: Jonathans D.

Own Goal

50'

Matias Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The BGL Ligue 2025/2026 game between Mondorf and Jeunesse Esch finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

Mondorf

28%

Draws

50%

Jeunesse Esch

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Jeunesse Esch

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Mondorf come out ahead of Jeunesse Esch on wins alone.
50% — that's where the model lands on Jeunesse Esch taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%

Mondorf Clean Sheet 20%

Jeunesse Esch Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Mondorf	Jeunesse Esch
Matches Played	34	32
Wins	19	11
Draws	4	8
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	1.25	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Jeunesse Esch

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 0 - 1

1:1

Oct 19, 2025 BGL Ligue

Jeunesse Esch vs Mondorf

Possession: 54% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

2:0

May 25, 2025 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Jeunesse Esch

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 1 - 2

4:1

Aug 4, 2024 BGL Ligue

Jeunesse Esch vs Mondorf

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

1:1

Mar 17, 2024 BGL Ligue

Mondorf vs Jeunesse Esch

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mondorf Compare

Top Goalscorer Matias Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Jeunesse Esch Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mondorf 24 / 100

Jeunesse Esch 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Mondorf Jeunesse Esch

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick JEU Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mondorf scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Jeunesse Esch let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Mondorf has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Mondorf VS Jeunesse Esch

1.25 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bissen	30	20	5	5	70:27	65
2	Differdange	30	19	8	3	63:22	65
3	Mondorf	30	19	3	8	51:24	60
4	UNA Strassen	30	17	7	6	57:26	58
5	Dudelange	30	17	7	6	59:38	58
6	Jeunesse Esch	30	10	10	10	35:34	40
7	Racing Luxembourg	30	11	7	12	48:50	40
8	Kaerjeng	30	11	5	14	43:48	38
9	Hostert	30	10	6	14	35:56	36
10	Victoria Rosport	30	10	5	15	33:50	35
11	Progres Niedercorn	30	9	7	14	44:47	34
12	Hesperange	30	9	5	16	31:46	32
13	Jeunesse Canach	30	9	4	17	29:44	31
14	FC Mamer	30	8	5	17	33:59	29
15	Union Titus Petange	30	6	7	17	26:49	25
16	FC Rodange 91	30	6	7	17	28:65	25