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Mongolia U20 vs Sri Lanka U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Temuulen Z.
42' Event
Buyannemekh G.
45' Event
Temuulen U.

AI Match Summary

Mongolia U20 in this AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 tie, finishing 6-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mongolia U20
15%
Draws
28%
Sri Lanka U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mongolia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

28% / Low Confidence
  • Sri Lanka U20 haven't matched Mongolia U20's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Sri Lanka U20 a 28% chance of winning this.
  • Mongolia U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Mongolia U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57.4%
Mongolia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Sri Lanka U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U20 Sri Lanka U20
Matches Played 11 19
Wins 3 2
Draws 1 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.64 0.37
Goals Conceded 4.45 2.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2022 AFC Asian Cup U20
Mongolia U20 vs Sri Lanka U20
6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Temuulen U.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Temuulen Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sri Lanka U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U20 22 / 100
Sri Lanka U20 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U20 Sri Lanka U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sri Lanka U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sri Lanka U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 95% of 19 matches.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Sri Lanka U20 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Mongolia U20's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U20 VS Sri Lanka U20
1 Goals Scored 0.5
5.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Mongolia U20
3 : 0
Guam U20
31 Aug
Northern Mariana Islands U20
0 : 7
Mongolia U20
19 Nov
Australia U20
10 : 0
Mongolia U20
16 Nov
Kyrgyzstan U20
7 : 0
Mongolia U20
13 Nov
China U20
6 : 0
Mongolia U20
Page 1 of 3

Sri Lanka U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Brunei U20
0 : 2
Sri Lanka U20
03 Sept
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 4
Maldives U20
31 Aug
Myanmar U20
4 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
27 Mar
Bhutan U20
1 : 0
Sri Lanka U20
25 Mar
Sri Lanka U20
0 : 1
Nepal U20
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia U20 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 China U20 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
3 Myanmar U20 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Maldives U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U20 4 4 0 0 14:1 12
2 Bahrain U20 4 2 1 1 8:3 7
3 Bangladesh U20 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
4 Bhutan U20 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
5 Nepal U20 4 0 0 4 1:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 4 4 0 0 22:0 12
2 Yemen U20 4 2 1 1 14:5 7
3 Palestine U20 4 2 1 1 8:10 7
4 Laos U20 4 1 0 3 4:7 3
5 Guam U20 4 0 0 4 1:27 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U20 4 3 1 0 21:2 10
2 Syria U20 4 3 0 1 16:3 9
3 Chinese Taipei U20 4 2 1 1 10:1 7
4 Turkmenistan U20 4 1 0 3 9:8 3
5 Northern Mariana Islands U20 4 0 0 4 0:42 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U20 3 3 0 0 19:2 9
2 Mongolia U20 3 1 1 1 7:8 4
3 Malaysia U20 3 1 1 1 6:7 4
4 Sri Lanka U20 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Indonesia U20 3 3 0 0 12:3 9
2 Vietnam U20 3 2 0 1 11:4 6
3 Timor-Leste U20 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Hong Kong U20 3 0 0 3 3:12 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U20 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
2 Thailand U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Philippines U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
4 Afghanistan U20 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U20 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Iraq U20 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 India U20 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Kuwait U20 3 0 0 3 2:8 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tajikistan U20 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Lebanon U20 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Singapore U20 3 0 2 1 2:7 2
4 Cambodia U20 3 0 1 2 2:4 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran U20 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Kyrgyzstan U20 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 United Arab Emirates U20 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Brunei U20 3 0 0 3 0:19 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U20 2023 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams