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Mongolia U23 vs Indonesia U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U23 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Ramdani S.
31' Event
Wanewar M.
34' Event
Adsit G.

AI Match Summary

The AFC Championship U23 2018 game between Mongolia U23 and Indonesia U23 finished 0-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Indonesia U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Mongolia U23
20%
Draws
80%
Indonesia U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Indonesia U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Indonesia U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Indonesia U23 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Championship U23 2018 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Mongolia U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Indonesia U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia U23 Indonesia U23
Matches Played 23 40
Wins 1 22
Draws 4 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.65 2.1
Goals Conceded 3 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 3.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2017 Friendly International
Indonesia U23 vs Mongolia U23
3:2
Jul 21, 2017 AFC Asian Cup U23
Mongolia U23 vs Indonesia U23
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Indonesia U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramdani S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Adsit G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.39
Avg xA / game 2.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia U23 10 / 100
Indonesia U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia U23 Indonesia U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Indonesia U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Indonesia U23 let in goals in 60% of their last 40 matches.

Away concern: Indonesia U23 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Mongolia U23 scored in 48% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia U23 VS Indonesia U23
0 Goals Scored 2.13
5.33 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Mongolia U23

(Home)
09 Sept
Lebanon U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
06 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 7
Malaysia U23
03 Sept
Thailand U23
6 : 0
Mongolia U23
24 Sept
Iran U23
3 : 0
Mongolia U23
21 Sept
Mongolia U23
0 : 3
Saudi Arabia U23
Page 1 of 5

Indonesia U23

(Away)
18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2
Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3
Mali U23
13 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 1
India U23
10 Oct
Indonesia U23
1 : 2
India U23
09 Sept
South Korea U23
1 : 0
Indonesia U23
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oman U23 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Iran U23 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Kyrgyzstan U23 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
4 Sri Lanka U23 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iraq U23 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Saudi Arabia U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Bahrain U23 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Afghanistan U23 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Qatar U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Syria U23 3 1 2 0 3:1 5
3 India U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Turkmenistan U23 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uzbekistan U23 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 United Arab Emirates U23 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
3 Lebanon U23 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Nepal U23 3 0 0 3 0:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U23 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
2 Jordan U23 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Tajikistan U23 3 1 1 1 5:5 4
4 Bangladesh U23 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia U23 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Myanmar U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Singapore U23 3 1 0 2 4:10 3
4 Brunei U23 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U23 3 2 1 0 14:2 7
2 Hong Kong U23 3 1 2 0 6:2 5
3 Laos U23 3 1 1 1 4:8 4
4 Chinese Taipei U23 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malaysia U23 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
2 Thailand U23 3 1 2 0 4:1 5
3 Indonesia U23 3 1 1 1 7:3 4
4 Mongolia U23 3 0 1 2 1:10 1
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Korea U23 3 2 1 0 12:1 7
2 Vietnam U23 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
3 Timor-Leste U23 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
4 Macau U23 3 0 0 3 2:25 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U23 3 2 1 0 4:1 7
2 Japan U23 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Cambodia U23 3 1 1 1 1:2 4
4 Philippines U23 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Championship U23 2018 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams