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Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Mago Chavez A. K.
35' Event
Enkhzul B.
40' Event
Casarino J. N.

AI Match Summary

Northern Mariana Islands W in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Northern Mariana Islands W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Mongolia W
6%
Draws
90%
Northern Mariana Islands W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Northern Mariana Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Northern Mariana Islands W have won more games recently than Mongolia W.
  • Win probability leans Northern Mariana Islands W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 96%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 96%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Mongolia W Clean Sheet 10%
Northern Mariana Islands W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mongolia W Northern Mariana Islands W
Matches Played 23 21
Wins 2 3
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 9.63 6.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 9.63 6.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 30, 2023 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
3:4
Sep 3, 2018 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
3:2
Jun 29, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship Women
Mongolia W vs Northern Mariana Islands W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Mongolia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Enkhzul B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tsasan-Okhin O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Northern Mariana Islands W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mago Chavez A. K.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Casarino J. N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mongolia W 10 / 100
Northern Mariana Islands W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mongolia W Northern Mariana Islands W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Northern Mariana Islands W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 21 outings.

Northern Mariana Islands W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Mongolia W scored in 39% of their last 23 games.

Scoring Trends

Mongolia W VS Northern Mariana Islands W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
9.63 Goals Conceded 6.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 88%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1North Korea W330047:09
2Hong Kong W320112:126
3Northern Mariana Islands W31025:263
4Mongolia W30033:290
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chinese Taipei W220019:06
2Guam W21016:33
3Macau W20020:220