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Monmouth vs Aberdare Town

Wales Wales

Division 1 2015/2016
Monmouth Logo

Monmouth

0 - 0
FT
Aberdare Town Logo

Aberdare Town

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 2015/2016 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Monmouth
15%
Draws
34%
Aberdare Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Monmouth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Monmouth haven't matched Aberdare Town's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Monmouth taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Monmouth Clean Sheet 20%
Aberdare Town Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monmouth Aberdare Town
Matches Played 20 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 3 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.55 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.05 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2016 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Monmouth
1:2
Apr 20, 2016 Division 1
Monmouth vs Aberdare Town
0:0
Apr 4, 2015 Division 1
Monmouth vs Aberdare Town
3:1
Sep 13, 2014 Division 1
Aberdare Town vs Monmouth
1:8
Dec 28, 2013 Division 1
Monmouth vs Aberdare Town
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monmouth 85 / 100
Aberdare Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monmouth Aberdare Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monmouth Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Monmouth's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Aberdare Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Monmouth has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monmouth VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monmouth

(Home)
19 Oct
Monmouth
2 : 3
Pill
21 Sept
Newport City
0 : 2
Monmouth
25 Sept
Buckley
2 : 0
Monmouth
04 Sept
Monmouth
3 : 0
Llanelli
14 Aug
Monmouth
3 : 1
Cwmamman United
Page 1 of 4

Aberdare Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Aberdare Town
0 : 1
Ammanford Town
06 May
Aberdare Town
1 : 2
Monmouth
30 Apr
Garden Village
0 : 1
Aberdare Town
26 Apr
Caerau Ely
5 : 1
Aberdare Town
23 Apr
Goytre AFC
2 : 3
Aberdare Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff Metropolitan University 30 19 5 6 63:26 62
2 Barry Town 30 16 10 4 62:33 58
3 Goytre AFC 30 17 5 8 72:36 56
4 Caerau Ely 30 15 5 10 59:43 50
5 Cambrian United 30 15 5 10 48:39 50
6 Taffs Well 30 14 5 11 57:51 47
7 Goytre Utd 30 13 4 13 45:47 43
8 Afan Lido 30 11 9 10 53:53 42
9 Ton Pentre 30 12 4 14 45:52 40
10 Risca United 30 12 3 15 48:48 39
11 Penybont 30 11 6 13 53:56 39
12 Monmouth 30 10 9 11 56:60 39
13 Briton Ferry 30 10 9 11 41:49 39
14 Aberdare Town 30 11 4 15 34:56 37
15 Aberbargoed Buds 30 8 3 19 42:63 27
16 Garden Village 30 1 4 25 27:93 7
Promotion - Premier League 2016/2017 (Main)