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Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monopoli host Audace Cerignola in the Serie C - Group C. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Monopoli at 0.77 goals for, 0.97 against; Audace Cerignola at 1.48 for, 1.28 against. Head-to-head, Monopoli have won 2 to Audace Cerignola's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 1.06, favoring Audace Cerignola. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Monopoli
35%
Draws
30%
Audace Cerignola
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Monopoli haven't matched Audace Cerignola's recent run of results.
  • Monopoli are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 20%
Audace Cerignola Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Audace Cerignola
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
1:2
Jan 25, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Audace Cerignola vs Monopoli
1:0
Nov 18, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Audace Cerignola
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 42 / 100
Audace Cerignola 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Audace Cerignola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Audace Cerignola let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Monopoli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Monopoli scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Audace Cerignola
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
10 Oct
Casertana
3 : 1
Monopoli
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

Audace Cerignola

(Away)
10 Oct
Crotone
2 : 3
Audace Cerignola
04 Oct
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Altamura
26 Sept
Picerno
2 : 1
Audace Cerignola
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0
Audace Cerignola
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 9 7 1 1 24:12 22
2 Bari 9 6 1 2 13:6 19
3 Sorrento 9 6 0 3 14:10 18
4 Catania 9 5 1 3 17:10 16
5 Casertana 9 4 3 2 15:13 15
6 Audace Cerignola 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 Inter U23 8 4 1 3 16:13 13
8 Scafatese 8 3 4 1 13:11 13
9 Salernitana 9 3 4 2 12:10 13
10 Picerno 9 4 0 5 17:17 12
11 Cavese 9 3 3 3 15:15 12
12 Monopoli 9 3 3 3 7:7 12
13 Foggia 9 3 2 4 9:10 11
14 Casarano 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
15 A.C. Savoia 9 2 4 3 11:12 10
16 Barletta 9 1 5 3 12:15 8
17 Altamura 9 2 2 5 4:13 8
18 Giugliano 9 2 1 6 12:22 7
19 Cosenza 9 1 2 6 7:19 5
20 Crotone 9 1 3 5 10:15 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)