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Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Cosenza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Monopoli host Cosenza in the Serie C - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Cosenza have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Monopoli have conceded 1 and scored 0.97. Past meetings favor Monopoli slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 5, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.63 - 0.88) back Monopoli to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Monopoli
20%
Draws
23%
Cosenza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cosenza's 1.25 goals per match outpaces what Monopoli have produced (0.97).
  • Win probability leans Monopoli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 20%
Cosenza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Cosenza
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Cosenza vs Monopoli
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Cosenza
2:2
Aug 17, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Monopoli vs Cosenza
1:0
Oct 28, 2020 Coppa Italia
Cosenza vs Monopoli
2:1
Aug 11, 2019 Coppa Italia
Monopoli vs Cosenza
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 85 / 100
Cosenza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Cosenza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Monopoli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Monopoli found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Cosenza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Monopoli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Cosenza
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
25 Oct
Monopoli
2 : 0
Audace Cerignola
17 Oct
Inter U23
2 : 4
Monopoli
10 Oct
Casertana
3 : 1
Monopoli
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
Page 1 of 6

Cosenza

(Away)
24 Oct
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1
Cosenza
18 Oct
Cosenza
1 : 3
Altamura
12 Oct
Picerno
1 : 2
Cosenza
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0
Cosenza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 11 8 2 1 28:15 26
2 Bari 11 6 3 2 14:7 21
3 Sorrento 11 6 2 3 15:11 20
4 Catania 11 6 1 4 24:12 19
5 Monopoli 11 5 3 3 13:9 18
6 Audace Cerignola 11 5 2 4 18:11 17
7 Scafatese 10 4 5 1 16:13 17
8 Casertana 11 4 5 2 16:14 17
9 Cavese 11 4 3 4 20:18 15
10 Picerno 11 5 0 6 20:18 15
11 Inter U23 10 4 2 4 19:18 14
12 Salernitana 11 3 5 3 14:15 14
13 Foggia 11 4 2 5 11:13 14
14 Casarano 11 4 2 5 13:18 14
15 Altamura 11 3 3 5 9:16 12
16 Barletta 11 2 5 4 13:16 11
17 A.C. Savoia 11 2 5 4 12:17 11
18 Giugliano 11 3 1 7 15:29 10
19 Cosenza 11 1 3 7 9:23 6
20 Crotone 11 1 4 6 10:16 1
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)