Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Foggia

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Valietti F. In: Dimarco C.
Out: Valietti F.
46'
Sub
Greco J. In: Fedel G.
Out: Greco J.
54' Event
Fall M.

AI Match Summary

Monopoli in this Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monopoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Monopoli
20%
Draws
38%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Monopoli have won more games recently than Foggia.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Monopoli taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Monopoli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 20%
Foggia Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Foggia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 20
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Foggia
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Monopoli
2:1
Jan 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Foggia
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Monopoli
1:4
Aug 10, 2024 Coppa Italia Serie C
Foggia vs Monopoli
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Fall M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 42 / 100
Foggia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Foggia conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Monopoli found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Monopoli stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Foggia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
03 May
Monopoli
0 : 2
Casarano
26 Apr
Potenza
2 : 2
Monopoli
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Atalanta U23
2 : 0
Monopoli
04 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 1
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

Foggia

(Away)
26 Apr
Foggia
1 : 3
Salernitana
19 Apr
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
12 Apr
Foggia
1 : 1
Siracusa
04 Apr
Cosenza
1 : 0
Foggia
29 Mar
Foggia
1 : 0
Trapani
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Benevento38257674:2882
2Catania381913654:2570
3Salernitana38209950:4269
4Cosenza381910958:4067
5Casertana381991055:4466
6Crotone381871359:4061
7Monopoli3815111239:4156
8Casarano381681456:5756
9Audace Cerignola3814121250:5454
10Potenza3812131354:5649
11Atalanta U233811121553:5045
12Altamura3811121532:4945
13Latina3810121635:4442
14Cavese389151436:4242
15Picerno389131643:5540
16Sorrento389121739:5539
17Giugliano389101935:5237
18Foggia38692328:6027
19Siracusa389101948:5726
20Trapani3813101547:5424
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)