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Stadium Background

Monopoli vs Foggia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group C Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Todisco G.
29'
Tosi F.
36' Event
Capone A.

AI Match Summary

Monopoli in this Serie C - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Monopoli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Monopoli
35%
Draws
28%
Foggia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Monopoli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Foggia haven't matched Monopoli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Monopoli a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie C - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Monopoli have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Monopoli Clean Sheet 20%
Foggia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monopoli Foggia
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 8 5
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.76 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Foggia
1:0
Apr 19, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Foggia
1:0
Dec 15, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Monopoli
2:1
Jan 13, 2025 Serie C - Group C
Monopoli vs Foggia
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie C - Group C
Foggia vs Monopoli
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monopoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Capone A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Foggia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monopoli 42 / 100
Foggia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monopoli Foggia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Monopoli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Foggia has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Monopoli scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Monopoli VS Foggia
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Monopoli

(Home)
03 Oct
Monopoli
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
27 Sept
Casarano
0 : 1
Monopoli
20 Sept
Monopoli
2 : 2
Crotone
15 Sept
Scafatese
0 : 0
Monopoli
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

Foggia

(Away)
04 Oct
Cosenza
0 : 2
Foggia
27 Sept
Foggia
2 : 0
Sorrento
20 Sept
Inter U23
3 : 2
Foggia
15 Sept
Foggia
0 : 0
A.C. Savoia
12 Sept
Monopoli
1 : 0
Foggia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Potenza 8 6 1 1 21:11 19
2 Sorrento 8 6 0 2 12:7 18
3 Bari 8 5 1 2 11:6 16
4 Catania 8 4 1 3 14:10 13
5 Salernitana 8 3 3 2 12:10 12
6 Monopoli 8 3 3 2 6:4 12
7 Picerno 8 4 0 4 16:15 12
8 Casertana 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
9 Audace Cerignola 8 3 2 3 11:7 11
10 Foggia 8 3 2 3 8:7 11
11 Cavese 8 3 2 3 14:14 11
12 Scafatese 7 2 4 1 10:9 10
13 Inter U23 6 3 1 2 11:11 10
14 Casarano 8 3 1 4 10:13 10
15 Altamura 8 2 2 4 4:10 8
16 A.C. Savoia 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
17 Barletta 8 1 4 3 11:14 7
18 Giugliano 7 2 1 4 12:16 7
19 Cosenza 8 0 2 6 5:18 2
20 Crotone 8 1 3 4 8:12 0
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)