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Mons Claudius vs Smarje - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - North 2016/2017
Mons Claudius Logo

Mons Claudius

1 - 0
FT
Smarje Logo

Smarje

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - North 2016/2017 game between Mons Claudius and Smarje finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mons Claudius.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Mons Claudius
15%
Draws
28%
Smarje
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mons Claudius

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Smarje carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mons Claudius taking it.
  • Regular 3. SNL - North 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Mons Claudius Clean Sheet 19%
Smarje Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons Claudius Smarje
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 5 7
Draws 11 4
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.03 1.09
Goals Conceded 2.13 2.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2018 3. SNL - North
Mons Claudius vs Smarje
2:1
Oct 21, 2017 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Mons Claudius
5:0
Apr 1, 2017 3. SNL - North
Mons Claudius vs Smarje
1:0
Sep 10, 2016 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Mons Claudius
2:1
Apr 23, 2016 3. SNL - North
Smarje vs Mons Claudius
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons Claudius 85 / 100
Smarje 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons Claudius Smarje

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mons Claudius Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smarje has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.

Mons Claudius's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Smarje's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Smarje
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons Claudius

(Home)
02 Sept
Mons Claudius
0 : 8
Radomlje
05 Feb
Mons Claudius
0 : 9
Rogaska
13 Oct
Mons Claudius
1 : 2
Dravograd
06 Oct
Pohorje
1 : 3
Mons Claudius
29 Sept
Mons Claudius
2 : 0
Dravinja
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Smarje

(Away)
31 Oct
Smarje
1 : 4
Rogaska
28 May
Zavrc
12 : 0
Smarje
21 May
Smarje
1 : 4
Sampion Celje
14 May
Bistrica
12 : 1
Smarje
07 May
Smarje
3 : 1
Posavje Krsko
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maribor 2 26 21 3 2 107:25 66
2 Rogaska 26 16 6 4 76:29 54
3 Fuzinar 26 12 6 8 48:34 42
4 Dravograd 26 12 5 9 40:38 41
5 Korotan Prevalje 26 12 4 10 57:44 40
6 Mons Claudius 26 11 6 9 51:44 39
7 Smarje 26 11 5 10 37:39 38
8 Dravinja 26 11 3 12 35:39 36
9 Sampion Celje 26 10 3 13 47:57 33
10 SD Videm 26 8 5 13 36:54 29
11 Dobrovce 26 8 5 13 41:63 29
12 Lenart 26 7 6 13 36:58 27
13 SD Brunsvik 26 7 5 14 46:66 26
14 NK Smartno 26 4 2 20 19:86 14
Promotion - 2. SNL 2017/2018 (Main)