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Mons W vs Mechelen W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Belgium Belgium

1st National Women
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mons W host Mechelen W in the 1st National Women. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Mons W have averaged 1.56 scored and 1.85 conceded recently, against Mechelen W's 1.68 scored and 0.93 conceded. Head-to-head, Mons W have won 1 to Mechelen W's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.75) point toward Mechelen W. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Mons W
20%
Draws
57%
Mechelen W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mechelen W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Mechelen W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Mechelen W taking it.
  • Regular 1st National Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Mechelen W have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Mons W Clean Sheet 12%
Mechelen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Mons W Mechelen W
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.56 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.85 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Mons W
4:2
Nov 15, 2025 1st National Women
Mons W vs Mechelen W
2:1
Mar 19, 2022 1st National Women
Mons W vs Mechelen W
1:2
Mar 2, 2022 1st National Women
Mechelen W vs Mons W
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Mons W 14 / 100
Mechelen W 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Mons W Mechelen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mechelen W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Mons W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Mechelen W has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Mons W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Mons W VS Mechelen W
2.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 25%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Mons W

(Home)
16 Oct
Westerlo W
2 : 2
Mons W
10 Oct
Mons W
1 : 2
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
04 Oct
Mons W
1 : 2
Leuven II W
26 Sept
Olsa Brakel W
4 : 3
Mons W
19 Sept
Mons W
3 : 1
Waregem 2 2 W
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Mechelen W

(Away)
17 Oct
Mechelen W
4 : 0
Standard Liege II W
09 Oct
Westerlo W
2 : 1
Mechelen W
03 Oct
Mechelen W
2 : 0
Genk II W
26 Sept
Mechelen W
2 : 0
RFC Liege W
20 Sept
SB Stade Mouscronnois W
2 : 2
Mechelen W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Schoonbeek-Beverst W 7 4 3 0 11:2 15
2 Mechelen W 7 4 2 1 15:5 14
3 Leuven II W 7 4 2 1 20:12 14
4 Westerlo W 7 4 2 1 16:12 14
5 RSC Anderlecht II W 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
6 Club Brugge II W 7 3 2 2 11:7 11
7 Olsa Brakel W 7 2 5 0 8:6 11
8 Waregem 2 2 W 7 3 1 3 12:8 10
9 KFC Damme W 7 3 1 3 10:15 10
10 Mons W 7 2 3 2 14:11 9
11 Herk Sport Hasselt W 7 3 0 4 12:10 9
12 Genk II W 7 3 0 4 14:18 9
13 Femina Woluwe W 7 2 1 4 11:15 7
14 SB Stade Mouscronnois W 7 1 1 5 9:22 4
15 Standard Liege II W 7 1 0 6 5:22 3
16 Famkes Oostende W 7 0 2 5 3:14 2
Promotion - Super League Women (Main)