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Monsoon vs Gramadense

Brazil Brazil

Copa FGF
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Babi
77' Event
Dieter
83' Event
Kerlly

AI Match Summary

Gramadense in this Copa FGF tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Monsoon
28%
Draws
50%
Gramadense
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Gramadense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Gramadense have won more games recently than Monsoon.
  • Gramadense are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Gramadense arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Gramadense, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Monsoon Clean Sheet 22%
Gramadense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Monsoon Gramadense
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 14 12
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 0.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 11, 2026 Copa FGF
Gramadense vs Monsoon
1:0
May 24, 2026 Copa FGF
Monsoon vs Gramadense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Monsoon Compare

Top Goalscorer Babi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Gramadense Compare

Top Goalscorer Dieter
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kerlly
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Monsoon 24 / 100
Gramadense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Monsoon Gramadense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Monsoon scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Gramadense let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Monsoon stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Monsoon VS Gramadense
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Monsoon

(Home)
17 Jun
Monsoon
2 : 1
Brasil de Farroupilha
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
08 Jun
Monsoon
1 : 1
Santa Cruz RS
30 May
Santa Cruz RS
3 : 1
Monsoon
24 May
Monsoon
1 : 2
Gramadense
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Gramadense

(Away)
12 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 0
Brasil de Pelotas
05 Jul
Gramadense
1 : 1
GE Bage
27 Jun
GE Bage
0 : 1
Gramadense
17 Jun
Santa Cruz RS
2 : 2
Gramadense
11 Jun
Gramadense
1 : 0
Monsoon
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gramadense63219:711
2Santa Cruz RS624010:710
3Monsoon61235:85
4Brasil de Farroupilha60425:74
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brasil de Pelotas642012:414
2GE Bage62226:68
3Guarany de Bage61326:86
4Farroupilha60333:93
Promotion - Copa FGF (Play Offs)